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Old 07-31-2008, 03:59 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,677
Default 7/31: Saratoga (Day 8)

Stumbled early in ultimately chalky P6 carryover at Spa Wednesday, but pair of ordinary P4's ($100/$170) and lots of simple hits made the day a modest success. Hope you did well!

Thursday's 10 race card a bit of a ho-hum affair, but the ones that appear the most straightforward are the ones that turn wacky... (Second steeplechase of the week starts things off, and I'm feeling strong after catching my first "hopper" hit in ages Wednesday when Dynaski got the job done at 3-2!)


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Kiser Novice, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Bee Charmer 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 The Price of Love 6-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Dr. Bloomer 5-1 7th


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Very tough to figure juvy maiden heat with 'logicals' slightly suspect..

Most Likely: #8 Valiancy 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Bounissimo 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Fast Draw 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Tapit's Brew 5-1 5th


3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Hatta Fort 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Around the Cape 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Redefined 5-2 WON
Super Add: #3 Georgetown 15-1 5th


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Isn't That Special 5-2 WON
Best Value: #8 Northern Rhodes 5-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Prominent 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Lovely Wildcat 5-1 4th


5th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Adding #8 Lauren's Go Go WON to the P4...

Most Likely: #5 Better Than Swiss 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Linda's Kisses 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 (POE) Barbara'sluckystar 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Meese Rocks 12-1 4th


<$100 P4 Play:

2: 1-4-5-6-8
3: 3-4-7-8
4: 2 (P3 Paid $30.75)
5: 2-3-5-6-8 (P3 Paid $97.50)

5x4x1x5 = $100

P4 Paid $177.75


6th: CLM, 3yo, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Storming Off 4-5 WON
Best Value: #8 Galaxy Tax 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Oldham 4-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Windication 20-1 4th

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key #3 1st-2nd with /SCR-6-7-8 (1x3x2x1 = 6 x .30 = $1.80)


7th: CLM, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Transit of Venus 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Approved by Dylan 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Ground Hero 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Encinas 4-1 WON

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key #9 1st-2nd-3rd with 1-3-4-5 (1x4x3x2 = 24 x 3 = 72 x .10 = $7.20)

Paid $25.95


8th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Pious Ashley 3-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Latest Scoop 9-2 7th
Next Best: #2 Spring Elusion 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Loquacious Lil 6-1 10th


9th: 5th John Morrissey, NYB-3+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Stunt Man 7-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Mr. Bourbon Street 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 SCR


10th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #8 Logic Way 3-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Hangingbyathread 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 North Country 5-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Bethpage Black 12-1 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-4-5-9
8: 1-4-5
9: 2-3-6
10: 8

5x3x3x1 = $45


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-01-2008 at 03:20 AM.
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