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Originally Posted by GPK
with Lava Man being all out last time to hold off Ace Blue, does anyone feel that he is vulnerable on Sunday? He has clearly dominated his opponents in his other races this year, but did not look the same horse in the Hollywood Gold Cup. Was that race mainly a result of his stumbling a bit at the the start, or is he beggining to tire a bit?
Anyone gonna try and beat him at what will surely be very short odds?
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It is a tough call. He looks like he might be ready to tire like he did last year, but I don't like any of these to beat him. Perfect Drift and Giacomo are (in my opinion) his two main competitors and I don't really like either of them to win it here either. Perfect Drift will obviously run his usual solid race and it will be good enough for place or show and while you are right about Lava Man being all out to win his last, so was Giacomo, and of those two Lava Man is FAR more consistent. And like you say LM had a tough start in his last. Some people say that the 8.5f wasn't Giac's best distance and that he wants to go 10f. I'm not so sure about that. I mean yeah he did win the Derby but that race completely fell apart and he wasn't exactly flying at the end. He is by Holy Bull and I actually think that like his sire 8.5f-9f might be his best distance. Lava Man might be ready to throw out a clunker, but I don't think so. I predict that he wins everything he runs in until the BCC and then finishes off the board in that one.