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Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
Your math is actually not correct. Gomez is winning at a 20% clip. If he had 25 more mounts, you would expect that would give him another 5 winners. That would give him a 2 win lead over Prado.
He is actually 3 wins behind Prado right now. I forgot to include yesterday's results.
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You have to also have ti factor in the number of mounts each is going to have at the end of the year. Prado will have many more mounts than Gomez. Predicting the difference then factoring in the win % will give you about 7-9 more wins for Gomez. Therefore giving him a 5-7 lead in wins. You have to look into the future my friend.