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Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
If Gomez rides at a 20% clip, he would have 2 more wins than Prado right now if he had the same number of mounts as Prado. This isn't rocket science. If Prado has 25 more mounts than Gomez and Gomez rides at a 20% clip, that means an additional 25 mounts would give him an addtional 5 wins.
If you are saying that Gomez would have a 5-7 win lead if he had as many mounts as Prado, that means that you would be expecting Gomez to win 8-10 races from an additional 25 mounts. That's not realistic. It could happen, but that's not what a statistician would predict. A statistician would predict that Gomez would get about 5 wins for every 25 mounts. He is riding at a 20% clip. 5/25=20%.
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Rup thats not to mention the fact that if Anderson could have ridden 25 more then he would have. Frieze knows that the more mounts he gets the more races he wins. Thast not rocket science either. You are kind of proving my point about the two agents. Frieze' strength is that hes best day to day hustler of a jock i ever saw. People forget that he was the one who made the bailey dynasty happen.