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Originally Posted by robfla
I understand your thinking, but IF Casanova Move goes off at ML 5:2 and pays 7.00, and the double is paying 16.00, would that mean the odds are about 6:5 at best
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Right. I ignored Casanova Move's odds because I was only interested in the relative amounts of money bet on each Derby horse. I think using 5:2 for Casanova Move will give you too low an estimate for most of the Derby horses.
--Dunbar
Edit: I meant "for most of the Preakness horses". Also, I should have used 18%, not 16%, for the takeout.
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Last edited by Dunbar : 05-15-2009 at 10:58 PM.
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