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Old 08-13-2009, 04:20 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,674
Default 8/13: Saratoga (Day 14; $52k C/O)

Good day to start Week 3 had potential to be outstanding, and though I fell short of pointing things out clearly, it appears it was for many Derby Trail readers and ATR listeners as at least three readers/listeners hitting the $4,600 quad! For me, the prime bet of the day was the state bred Cab Calloway where Uncle T Seven looked like a grapefruit coming over the plate. The 5-2 John Morrison trainee combined with overlaid 'Best Value' Livin Large (11-1) and obvious include Scientist for a fat $230 tri ($2). Hope you did well (and know quite a few did)! Carryover of $52,000+ Thursday on a very slippery sequence.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Ben Nevis, 4+, 16.5f-Hurdles (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Dalucci 3-1
Next Best: #8 Dynaski 7-2
Best Value: #3 Arcadius 6-1
Super Add: #9 Swagger Stick 5-1


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

SCR #2b Proud Zoe who won Monday..

Best Value: #7 Speckledbird 6-1
Most Likely: #4 Cableknit 2-1
Next Best: #5 Capital Adequacy 8-1
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Limeheart 10-1


3rd: OC/N3L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Royal Vindication 7-2
Next Best: #2 Just Ben 2-1
Exotics Use: #1e Clay entry 5-2


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Triple Glory 10-1
Most Likely: #6 Telemachus 3-1
Next Best: #3 All West 5-2
Super Add: #4 Napkins 5-1


5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Counterspy 5-2
Next Best: #5 Master 3-1
Best Value: #1 Dontquityourdayjob 8-1
Super Add: #6 Interrogatory 6-1


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 4-7
3: 1-2-5
4: 3-4-6-8
5: 1-4-5

2x3x4x3 = $72


6th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 (POE) Quick to Charm 7-2
Best Value: #5 Bullara 10-1
Next Best: #3 Angliana 3-1
Super Add: #10 Vettriano 5-1


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Hatheer 3-1
Best Value: #6 More Amour 8-1
Next Best: #1e Pletcher entry 4-1


8th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Choragus 5-2
Next Best: #6 Turn Away 2-1
Exotics Use: #5 Tar Heel Mom 7-2


9th: NY Stallion-Statue of Liberty, 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Wild Awake 5-2
Next Best: #7 Mother Russia 3-1
Best Value: #2 Es Mia 10-1
Super Add: #8 Sezzana 4-1


10th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #8 Collar 6-1
Most Likely: #9 Catty Madeline 5-1
Next Best: #2 Hangingonaprayer 3-1
Super Add: #7 My Anna Rose 8-1


$200 P6 Play:

5: 1-4-5
6: 2-3-5-10
7: 8
8: 2-6
9: 4-7
10: 8-9

3x4x1x2x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 6-8
8: 1-2-5-6
9: 2-4-7
10: 2-8-9

2x4x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-13-2009 at 10:52 AM.
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