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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
I think that Musketier has a very significant advantage here and could very easily control the race, IF ridden correctly. Jones rode a very strategic race against Mission Approved up at WO (chart is wrong for that race: TRAKUS malfunction) and I see no reason why he can't do the same here.
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It could certainly go that way. None of these want to do too much running. Americain is very important, and if he is well bet and ends up pressing outside it adds enough value to others to use three horses. Grand Couturier is the strongest closer here at this distance, his last was good enough comparatively to like him in this field. Rising Moon is the most interesting at 12-1. Desormeaux may be more even more likely than Jones to try to "get the jump", but if he doesn't I think he has a pretty good horse. MOON's had his problems, he finally took off the aluminum pads and ran ok in the Suburban. With Quijano/Starke FINALLY drawing outside a bit maybe there will be some room on the rail
. Best case scenario Rising Moon is boxed in and holds of Couturier , maybe your boy Musketier