[Kasept]

Missed nice P4 of nearly $1,000 when unconvinced of merits of 17-1 Bobby Ribaudo nightcap winner Watch Smartly. Elvis Trujillo left the late-arriving but rather obviously best Proud Osceola with too much to do, while Carlos Marquez Jr. had Watch Smartly forwardly well-placed and got first jump off the turn.

Focus of first full Saturday of winter action includes a nice sprint stakes card at Gulfstream that unfortunately appears certain to have to deal with steady rain and cold, and a $75k carryover skein at Santa Anita and $40k Super High 5 C/O in the 9th.


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Cravin Caden 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 SCR
Next Best: #7 Systemic Risk 5-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Desert Lord 5-1 2nd


5th: 28th Spectacular Bid, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Quality involved here has potential to do enough the rest of the year to earn this listed event a grading.. Am perplexed over employment of #3 Wildcat Frankie (7-2) whose outrageous debut leaves him highly susceptible to regression, though wet strip could be a delight for him with Wildcat Heir progeny winning at an eye-popping 32.4% over off-going..

Best Value: #7 Grand Times 4-1 7th
Most Likely: #2 Discreetly Mine 5-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Westover Wildcat 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Wildcat Frankie 7-2 2nd


6th: 28th Sugar Swirl (G3), F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Very deep and tricky group with the potentially wet surface a difficult addition to an already tough equation.. May cover 5-2 ML fave #8 Thunders Dove (spotty worktab for return) and 2nd choice #1 Bold Union (spotting weight to field) in multis but want prices within race..

Best Value: #2 D'Wild Ride 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #4 Tar Heel Mom 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Pretty Prolific 8-1 WON
Super Add: #6 Saratoga Tango 20-1 7th


7th: 55th Mr. Prospector (G3), 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Note that very sloppy conditions would find Pletcher scratching Munnings from the proceedings..

Most Likely: #2 Custom for Carlos 3-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Presto Change O 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 SCR
Super Add: #8 Starforaday 8-1 4th


8th: 1st GP Turf Sprint, 4+, 5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Weather issue threatens this inaugural lawn dash which then totally complicates the P4 plays..

Most Likely: #8 Hockeythehayman 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Little Nick 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Hatfield 8-1 WON
Super Add: #6 T. D. Vance 3-1


9th: 29th Old Hat (G3), 3yo, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Cuff Me 3-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Carphonic 4-1 11th
Best Value: #6 Dances With Ashley 6-1 9th
Super Add: #10 Malibu Legacy 12-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

For now, let's assume we get the rain and the turf sprint stays on the grass..

6: 2-3-4-6-8-9
7: 2-4-8-9
8: 8
9: 5-6-7-9-10-11

6x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-CAME OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #3 SCR
Best Value: #2 SCR
Next Best: #8 SCR
Super Add: #4 Blushing Dixie 5-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-8-9
8: 4-5-8
9: 5-6-11
10: 2-3-8/SCR 4

4x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Stylin Deputy 7-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Blue Tambourine 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 It's Partytime 3-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Heavy Kitty 6-1 9th


5th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Spot the Diplomat 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Self Insured 2-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 Stand Tall 8-5 7th


6th: 9 Paseana H., F&M-4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 St. Trinians 7-2 WON
Best Value: #6 My Baby Baby 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Floating Heart 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 You Lift Me Up 9-2


7th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Locksley Hall 5-2 5th
Best Value: #2 El Mirage King 12-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Kuro 5-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Mister Do It 3-1 3rd


8th: 73rd San Pasqual H. (G2), 4+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Nownownow 9-2 3rd
Most Likely: #7 Furthest Land 8-5 7th
Next Best: #1 Cherokee Artist 9-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Neko Bay 3-1 WON


9th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #11 Swiss Ski 4-1 6th
Best Value: #7 SCR
Next Best: #4 Stormy Game 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Turkish Victory 3-1 WON
High 5 Play: #8 Little Bro 30-1 3rd


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-3-8-9
5: 2
6: 6-7
7: 1
8: 1-3-7
9: 1-4-7/SCR-11

4x1x2x1x3x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 6-7-9
7: 1-2
8: 1-3-7
9: 1-4-7/SCR-11

3x2x3x3 = $54


Good luck!
Steve