First Dude has a way better chance of winning than Admiral Alex however just watch the Belmont to see what will happen. First Dude will lead them around the whole way while posting nice fractions(No Jim Dandy here where 2 horses go 3F in 2 min

) with Miner's Reserve pushing him.
The problem with ALW and Miner's Reserve and looking at the Jim Dandy is they got away with the lead. This won't happen in this race,First Dude is going out front and he has already shown he can take the lead all the way around.
Sets up perfect for Fly Down,Afleet Express and somewhat Ice Box.
I could see Friend or Foe hitting the board tho at a nice price.