Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Pass me the blunt, Travis.
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I think you can legitimately make a case for an upset by combining the following thoughts.
- The jocks won't gun-it just for the sake of gunning-it on horses like Moon or Emmy.
- In my opinion, Zenyatta is not quite as sharp as last year. Her kick doesn't seem quite as "deadly."
- Switch's best races have come at Hollywood Park. She's not one-way speed, so she can rate. She beat Blind Luck (who in this race would be a legit second choice).
- Rinterval doesn't have to be on the lead either, I think she was there recently by default. She only lost to Z by a neck. Perhaps she's on a more equal level closing versus holding on? Either that, or she sets it up for..
- Satan's Quick Chick, who has been fast enough to win here in the past, at least on pure figures, and is a grade two winner at Kee against 13 others.
Toss a tricky trip in there, or other randomness, and I think it could happen. Is it likely? No... but not impossible.