Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Dunbar
Put me squarely in the camp that thinks the 21-1 missing by a length is more likely the overlay than the 5-2 winning by 3/4. To call getting 5-2 on that narrow win a "steal" is far-fetched.
And to knock the 21-1 bet because it didn't "pay" is silly. If you can hit 10% of your 21-1 picks, you'd be the most successful bettor at the track. Missing by a length with that kind of longshot is evidence that you are on the right path.
--Dunbar
|
I had pegasus wind as well. I think any pick that doesnt pay is a "bad pick" but i thought the price was wonderful and i had to jump on it. I would make that bet over and over again.
Betting Pletcher chalk is hardly stealing in my opinion. Congrats on the pick though and best of luck with that in the BC juvey.
I am of the opinion that Scat Daddy isnt as good as CQ. I wasnt terribly impressed with the win saturday. Set up was perfect and it wasnt like his run was overpowering.
Nobiz ran a bizarre race but the talent is certainly there. From a "talent" standpoint, I am of the opinion that he possesses more than Scat daddy and will be a better horse in the long run. If i get a good price on him in the juvey, i will take it.