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Old 02-08-2011, 02:20 PM
paulo537 paulo537 is offline
Morris Park
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 121
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First, it's a pretty poor betting race (7 betting #s) unless you have a pretty strong lean on a non-fave.

I don't see much speed at all. Red Jag isn't likely to outjump all of these and even if he does, he's got the 5, as I see it, and perhaps also the 2, right on top of him.

The 1A, 4, 6 and 7 aren't going anywhere early, imo. I suppose the 7 could send, but why would they? Who knows about the 2. He's pretty unlikely to last in any case.

I'd best guess that after 1/4 mile, Fiscal Stimulus leads or control-presses outside the 1 a/o 2, with the 3 --assuming he breaks clean-- getting a pretty good trip.

To me, the race chalks out 3 wide, which makes it a lousy betting race. If somehow the 1 and 2 take far more action than I expect, maybe Fiscal Stimulus gets lost on the board a bit and goes off 6-7/1 , I'd bet him to win or play 5/37.
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