View Single Post
  #16  
Old 04-17-2011, 02:31 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav View Post
I thought you are suppose to look at the "back" part, not the Lay?
No...

You should look at the "mid" price. If there's relatively equal money on both sides of the market, like in the case of Nehro, the trading price will end up very close to the middle of the tightest bid/offer (in this case 12.5/19, so 16.) In the situation where there's a lot of money on the offer ("back") side, like in the case of Dialed In ($817 at 4.2 to back versus only $14 at 5.8 to lay and $14 at 6.0 to lay) it's a certainty that the price will trend higher- here, very very likely to be at 5.8+; the reverse is true if there's a lot of money on the bid ("lay") side.

In this specific market, the "back" side is simply where the market makers are seeding the market. It is far lower than what really will trade.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote