You made me curious, so I took the time to check in the money (1-3) finishers since 1999....before this year, 0 winners, 1 place finisher (Closing Argument with 10 in 2005) and 5 show finishers (Musket Man with 10 in 2009, Denis of Cork with 14 in 2008, Afleet Alex with 14 in 2005, Imperialism with 14 in 2004, and Impeachment with 14 in 2000). Obviously, DP less than 16 is worthless in predicting show finishers, reasonable in predicting place. In fact with only 41 horses failing to reach 16 since 1999, 5 of 41 is a higher % than the total fields %. Again, did this out of curiosity as I'm only concerned with winners.
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