
06-10-2011, 09:54 AM
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Arlington Park
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Travis Stone
I think this is a really interesting Belmont....
Overbet (even if just slightly):
Nehro
Master of Hounds
Underbet:
Shackleford
Neither Over/Under:
Animal Kingdom
Mucho Macho Man
I generally agree with everyone who thinks Shackleford might run out of gas, but I think there's still a chance he pulls a Da Tara and just bottoms-out the field. If Animal Kingdom runs his race, he should be there. There's no doubt he and Shackleford right now are the top two in the division.
Nehro is everyone's wise-guy horse, but I'm less enthused. He's an obvious contender, but he's going to be overbet (I think, anyway) based off the fact he skipped the Preakness, is lightly-raced etc. I'll use, and hope to beat.
To make a big score, you have to beat a few of the obvious guys somewhere. I'm going to try and get Santiva somewhere on the board. He was probably short in the Derby, and ran well enough to justify a move forward in here at a good price. He has the pedigree, too.
If it comes up wet, Brilliant Speed enters the conversation a bit. Not sure about him yet on a dry track.
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I like Brilliant Speed, his derby was similar to Summer Bird's.
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