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Old 10-13-2011, 07:06 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,674
Default 10/13: Belmont ($103k C/O); Santa Anita ($77k P6, $36 Hi-5 C/O's)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Ostensibly 5-1 WON-DH ($5.40)
Next Best: #8 Passionate Gold 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Striking Wonder 5-2 5th
Super Add: #6 Style Squad 12-1 WON-DH ($12.60)


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Image of Disco 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Synthesizer 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Win for the Zipper 5-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Sleepy Freud 6-1 4th


6th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Lady On the Run 5-2 WON ($5.90)
Best Value: #2 Bailzee 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Life's Measure 6-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Enniskillen 12-1 7th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Zaahy 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Adam Rides Again 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Medieval Sword 7-2 6th
Super Add: #8 Staff Sargeant 12-1 2nd


8th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Rigby 4-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #7 Fudge the Books 15-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Distant Sky 7-2 4th


9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #5 Far Isle 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Sister Berta 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Far From Shy 12-1 8th
Super Add: #12 Ready to Party 8-1 3rd


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 2-3-6-8
5: 3-6
6: 2-6-7-9
7: 9
8: 3-7-8
9: 5

4x2x4x1x3x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-6-7-9
7: 6-9-12
8: 3-7-8
9: 3-5-6-12

4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Valeria 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Lofty Ambition 7-2 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Kissable 9-2 7th
Super Add: #7 Tizalwaysomething 4-1 2nd


4th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 For You My Heart 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #5 Lily Amore 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Si Mar's Dear 6-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Wild Cat Lore 7th


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Feels like the most treacherous spot in the sequence with very beatable favorite in 3-1 Excessario and 8 others within about 2 lengths of each other on best. Field has honest pace projection, so envision your scenario and use the ones you think will be improving today..

Best Value: #8 Royal Heat 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Cragmont 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Ashen 8-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Thunder of Zion 8-1 WON ($11.40)


6th: CA-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Those playing exotics want to throw #1 Warren's Big Cat (20-1) into their mix on return to turf and state bred ranks..

Most Likely: #2 Amoracchius 7-2 8th
Next Best: #8 Cranky Jack 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #11 Stone Hot 6-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Unusual Beam 7-2 2nd


7th: CA-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Bluegrass Reward 1-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #6 Memphis Mobster 8-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Lodi Red 5-2 2nd


8th: MDN CLM, 3+, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

$35,974 Hi-5 C/O here..

Most Likely: #2 Top Torero 2-1 DNF
Best Value: #3 Danceswiththewind 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Del Mar Johnny 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Late SCR
Super Add: #12 Warrens Two to One 50-1 4th


<$150 P6 Play:

3: 4-6
4: 4-5
5: 2-7-8
6: 2
7: 1-4-6
8: 2-3

2x2x3x1x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-2-3-7-8
6: 2-8
7: 1-4-6
8: 2-3-5/SCR-7-12

5x2x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-13-2011 at 09:53 PM.
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