Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Travis Stone
I think everyone is caught-up in whether or not Bernardini can stare horses in the eye and has forgotten about a critical component. I'm trying to put Bernardini aside a figure out what the pace will be. Bernardini can lead or stalk, so we know what he can do, but what about everyone else?
Confirmed Front-Runners:
Lava Man - I think he does his best when on the lead and I think that's where we will see him. They won't take his best game plan away in such a big race.
Uncertain Front-Runners:
Lawyer Ron - This guy is with a new trainer and working slower. Does that mean they will rate him? Can he go 10 furlongs?
Brother Derek- Most likely just off the pace.
Premium Tap - The horse is probably better off the pace, what do they do?
Suave - Good tactical speed, but do they use it? Or, rather hope the leaders back-up for them? Are they in to win, or get a nice chunk of change?
By this, perhaps Bernardini and Lava Man take it to each other from the start. Survival from that point on? Tough call.
|
in a race where it seems that nobody will actually WANT the outright lead for fear of a pace breakdown, it seems that Suave will inherit the lead by default.