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Old 07-11-2013, 06:49 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,674
Default 7/11: Belmont Park ($40k C/O)

$40,744 carryover today at Belmont on a somewhat quirky set of races. Thunderstorms possible to add to the intrigue...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$40,744 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #3 My Sparky 4-1 WON ($9.10)
Next Best: #6 Hey Babe 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Rhonin Victoria 5-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Delightful Dawn 3-1 2nd


5th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Miss Da Point (3-1) a play-against stretching out off outlying career best last time..

Best Value: #1 Newbie 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Haldane 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Tahoe Tigress 5-1 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #6 Necessary Luxury 8-1 5th


6th: MCLM/$16k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Bad bunch o' coconuts. There's almost no speed so expect plunging Three Times Bea SCR to light out under one dimensional Tomas. Rufus Ruth another dropping from MSW company while adding hood. Miz Owell deserves another chance. Jump trainer Jim Day should be respected with Controlled Neglect..

Best Value: #5 Rufus Ruth 10-1 4th-DH
Next Best: #2 Miz Owell 7-2 WON ($13.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Controlled Neglect 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Ivanova 5-2 4th-DH


7th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Not sure why Terminus was made 20-1 here as his race 2 back around this level is plenty competitive. Turns back from mile try versus stiff competition. Won't mind if the skies open either..

Best Value: #1 Terminus 20-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Cayambe 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Roman Invasion 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Super Add: #7 Temecula Creek 8-1 7th


8th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Terrific group and none of the 8 would be a surprise. First time turf Garmentos Girl can wire if under-aggressive Alvarado doesn't go with ouchy Justoneatheguys..

Most Likely: #5 Garmentos Girl 7-2 7th
Best Value: #3 Alternative Meds 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Win for Kitten 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Eddy Gourmet 4-1 2nd


9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT

Inscrutable nightcap with endless options. Pick and pray because there is precious little separating EVERYONE in this field..

Best Value: #5 Poster Girl 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Arriba Anna 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Path of Dreams 6-1 WON ($15.00)
Super Add: #4 Neolexia 15-1 3rd


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 3-6
5: 1-3
6: 2-5-6
7: 1-3
8: 5
9: 1-3-4-5

2x2x3x2x1x4 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-5-6
7: 1-3-6
8: 1-3-5-8
9: 1-3-4-5

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 07-11-2013 at 04:25 PM.
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