[ateamstupid]

Wasn't able to rebound from Friday's tough beat the way I'd hoped and it resulted in an aggravating weekend. Even though it feels like I've been getting destroyed, I'm only one halfway decent ticket away from being back in the black with 3/4 of the meet remaining, so let's get back into it.

Amount Invested: $1,000
Amount Returned: $776.85
Net: -$223.15
$2 ROI: $1.55

Wednesday, July 31

Early Pick 4:

2nd: I'm not going beyond the two favorites. #2 Hot Stones was pounded to 7-5 in her debut for a barn that usually doesn't have them cranked 1st out, narrowly lost in a quick come-home effort, putting up a 74 BSF that would make her tough in here. #4 Gloria Victoria attended a quick pace in her debut, made the lead at the 1/8 pole before fading late. Cuts back a furlong and should sit a good trip stalking outside of Carla Sweetrevenge.

3rd: #3 Caxambas Pass the one to beat off a good, wide closing 3rd going shorter two back, didn't embarrass herself in dirt try, now switches back to her preferred surface. #7 Rare Penny is bred to love grass, was entered for turf before last race was rained off, put in a useful 5th in the slop, should move forward considerably 2nd out for red-hot Stall. #5 Doctor Vickie Lynn has suffered several wide trips in her recent PPs and her figures still stack up well with the favorite's. #6 Perfect Package was not good last out, setting a clear, easy pace and still folding in the stretch, but perhaps she's more fit with that race under her belt and the sharp Hushion decides not to cut her back. She should be setting or stalking another slow pace and her BSFs two and three-back make her a player. #4 Neolexia has trouble getting out of the gate, but has a very good closing punch and the barn switches to Velazquez, maybe in an effort to get her to break more alertly.

4th: I don't understand why #2 Thescreenisred should be favored against these. It is Chad Brown off a layoff with a turf horse, always dangerous, but it's not as though she ran way faster than this group last year. #1 Margaret Lillian ran her best career race going this distance on this course, could be speed of the speed from the inside. #5 Barrel of Joy was not good in her route try last out, but her two turf sprints prior to that make her a major player. I'll also throw in #4 Rakin' Gold, who has always shown ability on turf and showed up with her best effort to date last out, albeit while setting a slow pace.

5th: #7 Old Harbor has an experience edge over most of these, running a decent 2nd at MTH against open company and shows a good 3-furlong blowout for this. #5 Lavender Road went for $95k at OBS April, 12 2/3 times her sire's stud fee, after working a furlong in :10.2, has done nothing in the mornings to suggest that was a fluke, should be ready to go in her debut for former Linda Rice assistant Abigail Adsit. #4 Kicken Livi is bred to be decent, has worked regularly in the mornings with barn's OK sprinter Liquid Lunch, goes out for former Pletcher client Anstu and former Pletcher assistant Dilger. #3 Canal Six shows some solid works for Morley and picks up Rosario, but it's hard to look past Noble Causeway's 3-for-98 stats with 1st time starters.

$.50 2,4/3,4,5,6,7/1,2,4,5/3,4,5,7 $80
$.50 2,4/3,5,7/1,2,5/5,7 $18
$.50 2/3,7/1,5/5 $2