10/3: Belmont at The Big A ($84k P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Taken for $25k and dipping down, First Glimpse is the most consistent performer here. After him, you get to a number of in-and-outer types. Mason Mania goes off the claim for Potts (16%)..

Most Likely: #2 First Glimpse 7-2
Best Value: #5 Mason Mania 5-1
Next Best: #6 Giroovin 3-1
Exotics Use: #1 Winter's Ghost 12-1


4th: MDN/OC-$, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Murky bunch from a turf route perspective.. Sky Masterson dolled up and way the guy to beat if he gets in. (See what I did there?)..

Most Likely: #12 (AE) Sky Masterson 5-2
Best Value #10 Max N Fifo 10-1
Next Best: #7 Salvation 3-1
Exotics Use: #9 Printer's Alley 2-1
Super Add: #1 Reteko 12-1


5th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Morey claimed Reflexivity for himself and figures tough, but even money seems like surge pricing. Reylu Gutierrez returns to NY and finds himself on last out graduate Sassy Allie who is the other speed with Reflexivity. If either gets loose, they'll win. Linarite has been 2nd/3rd in 7 straight..

Most Likely: #5 Reflexivity 1-1
Next Best: #2 Sassy Allie 9-2
Best Value: #1 Quick Power Nap 8-1
Exotics Use: #3 Linarite 4-1


6th: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Dark Devil 9-5
Next Best: #2 Wajda 5-1
Best Value: #7 Glint 20-1
Exotics Use: #4 Missouri River 4-1


7th: Gio Ponti, 3yo, 1m-T (DD)

Absolutely terrific late season sophomore set where 3 exit the incident-marred Saranac and virtually everyone has similar stalker/midpack running styles. #11-AE Vesting (5-1) would be a major player should he draw in..

Most Likely: #3 Piper's Factor 8-1
Best Value: #4 The Process 12-1
Next Best: #2 Take Me To Church 5-1
Exotics Use: #11 (AE) Vesting 5-1
Super Add: #9 Donegal Momentum 9-2


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-Outer

Very tough finish to sequences with 5 firsters (3-5-6-10-11) offering hints of potential and Pletcher/Rudy Rod returning eligible 2nd timers (7-9)..

Best Value: #11 So Darn Pretty 6-1
Next Best: #3 Candy Quest 5-1
Exotics Use: #7 Tam I Am 7-5
Super Add: #10 Moonscape 8-1


P6 Grid:

3: 2 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
4: 10-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
6: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x1x3x2 = $96
All A's: 1x2x2x1x3x2 = $24
Backup ():


P5 Grid:

4: 10-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
6: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x3x2 = $96
All A's: 2x2x1x3x2 = $24
Backup ():


P4 Grid:

5: 2-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
6: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-7-10-11 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x1x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12


Let's get lucky!
Steve