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Old Today, 03:05 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,107
Default 10/3: Belmont at The Big A ($84k P6 C/O)

BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Taken for $25k and dipping down, First Glimpse is the most consistent performer here. After him, you get to a number of in-and-outer types..

Most Likely: #2 First Glimpse 7-2
Next Best: #6 Giroovin 3-1
Exotics Use: #5 Mason Mania 5-1
Super Add: #1 Winter's Ghost 12-1


4th: MDN/OC-$, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Murky bunch from a turf route perspective.. Sky Masterson dolled up and way the guy to beat if he gets in. (See what I did there?)..

Most Likely: #12 (AE) Sky Masterson 5-2
Next Best: #7 Salvation 3-1
Best Value #10 Max N Fifo 10-1
Exotics Use: #9 Printer's Alley 2-1
Super Add: #1 Reteko 12-1


5th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Morey claimed Reflexivity for himself and figures tough, but even money seems like surge pricing. Reylu Gutierrez returns to NY and finds himself on last out graduate Sassy Allie who is the other speed with Reflexivity. If either gets loose, they'll win. Linarite has been 2nd/3rd in 7 straight, so the type to use in exotics and exclude in the multis..

Most Likely: #5 Reflexivity 1-1
Next Best: #2 Sassy Allie 9-2
Best Value: #1 Quick Power Nap 8-1
Exotics Use: #3 Linarite 4-1


6th: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


7th: Gio Ponti, 3yo, 1m-T (DD)

Absolutely terrific late season sophomore set where 3 exit the incident-marred Saranac and virtually everyone has similar stalker/midpack running styles. #11-AE Vesting (5-1) would be a major player should he draw in..

Most Likely: #3 Piper's Factor 8-1
Best Value: #4 The Process 12-1
Next Best: #2 Take Me To Church 5-1
Exotics Use: #11 (AE) Vesting 5-1
Super Add: #9 Donegal Momentum 9-2


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-Outer

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


P6 Grid:

3: - (A), - (B), - (C)
4: - (A), - (B), - (C)
5: - (A), - (B), - (C)
6: - (A), - (B), - (C)
7: - (A), - (B), - (C)
8: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


P5 Grid:

4: - (A), - (B), - (C)
5: - (A), - (B), - (C)
6: - (A), - (B), - (C)
7: - (A), - (B), - (C)
8: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


P4 Grid:

5: - (A), - (B), - (C)
6: - (A), - (B), - (C)
7: - (A), - (B), - (C)
8: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


Let's get lucky!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : Today at 05:00 AM.
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