#1
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10/23-25: C/O-palooza ~ KEE $301k P5; AQU $124k P6; SA $153k P6
KEENELAND
PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD) $301k P5 C/O starts here.. Tricky start to sequence with class droppers and in-and-outers.. Most Likely: #5 Strava 4-1 WON ($5.40) Best Value: #7 Huge Bigly 12-1 3rd Next Best: #9 Underdressed 3-1 5th Exotics Use: #10 C F V Bullet 8-1 10th 5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Quartet of candidates (2-4-6-10) have established form that win this and another five (3-7-8-9-12) are within hailing distance. #5 Pretty Pertinent WON ($54.98) is a 20-1 first time turf filly out of the nice multiple G1 placed Pretty Prolific, but there doesn't seem to be any indication that the lawn will work for her.. Most Likely: #10 Birdwatching 6-5 11th Next Best: #6 One Front War 6-1 9th Best Value: #2 High Shot 15-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 My Brazilian Girl 4-1 3rd 6th: OC/N2X, 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD) Best Value: #7 Everland 8-1 6th Next Best: #6 Landed 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #5 Intricate 3-1 4th Super Add: #3 Neon Icon 5-1 WON ($11.96) 7th: ALW/Cond., 3+, 5.5f-T (DD) Stakes quality turf sprint where Ward (Arrest Me Red) and former Ward (Outadore) figure prominently, but note that Arrest hasn't been too successful over this course.. Best Value: #6 Mischievous Rogue 8-1 4th Next Best: #7 Outadore 9-2 8th Exotics Use: #1 Arrest Me Red 7-2 WON ($7.56) Super Add: #10 Mo Stash 4-1 2nd 8th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (Hi-5) Best Value: #8 Hitchcock SCR Next Best: #4 Touchy 8-5 WON ($3.26) Exotics Use: #9 Can Do Andrew 15-1 5th Super Add: #10 Original Sin 7-2 - $200 Budget P5 Grid (w/ All Used in 4th): 4: 5-7-9-10 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-4-5-8 (C) 5: 6-10 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 6-7 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C) 8: 4-8/SCR-9 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x4x3 = 288 x .50 = $144 All A's: 4x2x2x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48 Backup (CAAAA): 4x2x2x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48 (1-4-5-8 in 4th) $100 & Under Budget P5 Grid: 4: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), 2-3-10 (C) 5: 6-10 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 6-7 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C) 8: 4-8/SCR-9 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 Backup (CAAAA): 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-3-10 in 4th) P4 Grid: 5: 6-10 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C) 6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 6-7 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C) 8: 4-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 Let's get lucky! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-23-2024 at 04:19 PM. |
#2
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BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES 3rd: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD) $124k P6 C/O starts here.. Best Value: #2 Silent Melody 5-1 Next Best: #3 Sweet Anniversary 7-5 Exotics Use: #7 Nolita 4-1 Super Add: #1a (POE) Chasing Daylight 3-1 4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P5, G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Miss Bourbon 7-2 Next Best: #8 Magic Eight Ball 4-1 Exotics Use: #5 Just Heart 9-2 Super Add: #3 Turriga 6-1 5th: MCLM/$75k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #4 Its Satisfactual 10-1 Next Best: #5 Stamp of Approval 9-5 Exotics Use: #2 Sunday Tiff 10-1 Super Add: #3 Positive Carry 5-2 P4 Grid: 2: 3-4-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 3: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 4: 5-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) All A's: 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 6th: MDN/OC-$, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1a (POE) Western Wolf 7-2 Best Value: #8 Skyloft 6-1 Next Best: #7 Chris's Revenge 5-1 Exotics Use: #2 America's Honor 3-1 7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (DD) Most Likely: #5 Classify 3-1 Next Best: #3 El Grande O 8-5 Exotics Use: #1 Forrest City 7-2 Super Add: #8 For Some Reason 6-1 8th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 9f-Outer Always hard to be totally objective when you have a horse in a race, but our home bred Landauer ran a career best stretching out on the grass last month and found trouble mid-stretch when rallying. Gets Lezcano and added ground and starts out as the 5th choice (6-1).. Most Likely: #5 Landauer 6-1 Best Value: #2 Rohan 15-1 Next Best: #7 Make Your Moment 7-2 Exotics Use: #8 Cattani 3-1 P6 Grid: 3: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 4: 5-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 1 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C) All A's: 3x3x2x1x2x2 = $72 P5 Grid: 4: 5-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 1 (A), 8 (B), - (C) 7: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-5 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 3x2x1x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 P4 Grid: 5: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 1-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-5 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 2x2x2x4 = $32 ($16 for .50) Let's get lucky! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : Yesterday at 01:18 PM. |
#3
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SANTA ANITA
PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD) $153k P6 C/O starts here.. Most Likely: Next Best Value: Next Best Value: Exotics Use: Super Add: 5th: CA-MSW, 2yo, 6f-T (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: Next Best Value: Next Best Value: Exotics Use: Super Add: 6th: MCLM/$20k, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: Next Best Value: Next Best Value: Exotics Use: Super Add: 7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 10f-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: Next Best Value: Next Best Value: Exotics Use: Super Add: 8th: CA-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (DD) Most Likely: Next Best Value: Next Best Value: Exotics Use: Super Add: 9th: MCLM/$50k, F&M/3yo-5yo, 6f-T (Hi-5) Most Likely: Next Best Value: Next Best Value: Exotics Use: Super Add: P6 Grid: 4: - (A), - (B), - (C) 5: - (A), - (B), - (C) 6: - (A), - (B), - (C) 7: - (A), - (B), - (C) 8: - (A), - (B), - (C) 9: - (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): All A's: Backup (): P6 P5 Grid: 5: - (A), - (B), - (C) 6: - (A), - (B), - (C) 7: - (A), - (B), - (C) 8: - (A), - (B), - (C) 9: - (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): All A's: Backup (): P4 Grid: 6: - (A), - (B), - (C) 7: - (A), - (B), - (C) 8: - (A), - (B), - (C) 9: - (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): All A's: Backup (): Let's get lucky! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#4
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Still was going to miss the P5 (with Neon Icon rated too low), but wanted to involve Pretty Pertinent (who was as fast as the major players) and couldn't find any turf on her page to convince me.. Eh.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |