10/19: Keeneland (w/ Far Hills & Bel/Aqu X-C P5)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND ~ X-C P5 w/ FAR HILLS & BEL/AQU


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T ($3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Restore 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Caribbean Wind 2-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Ornato 30-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Hit That Review 3-1 WON ($4.32)


$3 TURF P3 Grid:

3: 2-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-6-7-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x1x5 = 15 x $3 = $45


6th:OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Cape Trafalgar 4-1 WON ($11.28)
Best Value: #6 Sahalat 15-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Wico 3-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Scoot Daddy 6-1 3rd


FAR HILLS 5th: Grand National (NSA-G1), 4+, 21f-Nat'l Fences (X-C P5, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Snap Decision 8-5 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #3 Noah and the Ark 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Sebastopol 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Merry Maker 10-1 9th


X-C P5 Grid:

FAR 5 (3:41p): 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
KEE 7 (4:12p): 5 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
FAR 6 (4:32p): 8-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
BAQ 10 (4:52p): 2-3-4-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
KEE 9 (5:16p): 1-3-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x1x2x5x4 = 40 x $1.50 = $60 ($20 for every .50)
Backup (ACAAA): 1x2x2x5x4 = 80 x .50 = $40 (1-3 in KEE 7)


KEENELAND 7th: Perryville (G3), 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Book'em Danno 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Henro 12-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Knightsbridge 3-1 DH-3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Love Me Tender 30-1 5th


FAR HILLS 6th: John Forbes Memorial, 4+, 2m

Most Likely: #13 The Grey Wizard 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #8 California Frolic 5-1 11th
Best Value: #11 Curbstone 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 The Addison Pour 12-1 6th


8th: ALW/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Irish Aces 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #12 Taking Candy SCR
Exotics Use: #10 Dripping Gold 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Paros 8-1 WON ($7.86)


BEL/AQU 10th: Athenia, F&M-3+, 9f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Spirit And Glory 4-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Papilio 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Edict 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Prerequisite 3-1 2nd


KEENELAND 9th: Raven Run (G2), 3yo-F, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 My Mane Squeeze 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Fibber 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Emery 7-5 WON ($4.50)
Exotics Use: #6 V V's Dream 8-1 4th


10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Evelyn Louise 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Running Away 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Take Note of This 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Birkin Girl 5-16th


P5 Grid:

6: 1-2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
8: 3-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
10: 3-7 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 4x1x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (ACAAA): 4x2x2x2x2 = 64 x .50 = $32 (1-3 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

7: 5 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
8: 3-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
10: 3-7 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x4x4 = $32 ($16 for each .50)
All A's: 1x2x2x2 = $8 ($4 for each .50)
Backup (ACAAA): 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8 (1-3 in 7th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve