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Old 10-30-2024, 05:31 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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Default 11/1: Del Mar ~ 41st Breeder's Cup | Friday

41ST BREEDERS' CUP ~ FRIDAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Red Flag 8-5
Best Value: #4 Navy Man 6-1
Next Best: #6 Skinner 4-1
Exotics Use: #9 Dothraki 6-1


2nd: Sen. Ken Maddy, F&M-2+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Stay and Scam 9-2
Next Best: #3 Just Nails 7-2
Exotics Use: #4 Twirling Queen 6-1
Super Add: #6 Kissed by Fire 5-2


3rd: CA-Golden St. Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Hot Girl Walk 5-2
Best Value: #9 In the Air Tonight 15-1
Next Best: #3 Tequilaandtherapy 10-1
Exotics Use: #6 Rizzleberry Rose 6-1


4th: TB Aftercare Alliance, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

As good as the Juvy Turf races that come later..

Most Likely: #10 Chasing Liberty 15-1
Best Value: #15 Uncle Dude 20-1
Next Best: #6 Supa Speed 6-1
Exotics Use: #4 Mi Bago 20-1
Super Add: #5 Scipio 8-1


5th: CA-Golden St. Juvenile, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 R Heisman 7-2
Best Value: #5 Shea Brennan 10-1
Next Best: #4 I'm a Bad Boy 5-2
Exotics Use: #7 Speedy Wilson 6-1


P5 Grid:

1: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 1-3 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
3: 1-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 6-10-15 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-5 (A), 4 (B), 7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-8 in 5th)


P4 Grid:

2: 1-3 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
3: 1-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 6-10-15 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-5 (A), 4 (B), 7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-8 in 5th)


6th: Breeders' Cup Juvy Turf Sprint (G1), 2yo, 5f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Ecoro Sieg 7-2
Next Best: #2 Aesterius 9-2
Best Value: #9 Shareholder 12-1
Exotics Use: #3 Big Mojo 4-1
Super Add: #7 Whistlejacket 5-1


$3 TURF P3 Grid:

6: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x2x4 = 16 x $3 = $48


7th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, J-Filly/Distaff DBL, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Immersive 3-1
Best Value: #2 Snowyte 15-1
Next Best: #5 Quickick 10-1
Exotics Use: #9 American Bikini 5-1
Super Add: #10 Scottish Lassie 5-2


P4 Grid:

4: 6-10-15 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-5 (A), 4 (B), 7-8 (C)
6: 2-8-9 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x1 = $45
All A's: 3x2x3x1 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-5 in 7th)


8th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3)

Most Likely: #1 Lake Victoria 8-5
Next Best: #7 Thought Process 5-2
Best Value: #9 Kilwin 20-1
Exotics Use: #13 Vixen 15-1
Super Add: #6 Virgin Colada 20-1


9th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (Juvy/Classic DBL, DD, Hi-5)

Top 4 are overwhelmingly likely, but find a use for Ireland-campaigned, American-bred (Quality Road/Lemon Drop Kid mare) first time dirt player Hill Road. Work reports pointing to a big try..

Best Value: #6 Citizen Bull 10-1
Next Best: #1 East Avenue 5-2
Exotics Use: #5 Jonathon's Way 9-2
Super Add: #10 Chancer McPatrick 3-1
Hi-5 Play: #3 Hill Road 30-1


10th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, 2yo, 1m-T (Juvy Turf/Turf DBL, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Mentee 15-1
Best Value: #1 Satono Carnaval 20-1
Next Best: #5 Zulu Kingdom 8-1
Exotics Use: #2 Dream On 20-1
Super Add: #6 Iron Man Cal 30-1


P5 Grid:

6: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 3-5-10 (B), - (C)
10: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x4x1x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AACAA): 2x4x1x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 (7 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-6 (A), 3-10 (B), - (C)
10: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 4x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : Today at 12:58 PM.
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  #2  
Old 10-30-2024, 05:32 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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41ST BREEDERS' CUP ~ SATURDAY


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


2nd: Bayakoa (G3), F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


3rd: Goldikova (G3), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


4th: Breeders' Cup F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)


Most Likely: #6 Society 3-1
Best Value: #8 Soul of an Angel 12-1
Next Best: #9 Ways and Means 5-2
Exotics Use: #4 Vahva 4-1


5th: Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G1), 3+, 5f-T (All Turf P4, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)


Most Likely: #9 Cogburn 7-5
Next Best: #6 Star of Mystery 10-1
Best Value: #10 Isivunguvungu 20-1
Exotics Use: #2 Motorious 8-1
Super Add: #1 Believing 12-1


All TURF P4 Grid:

5: - (A), - (B), - (C)
7: - (A), - (B), - (C)
9: - (A), - (B), - (C)
11: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


P5 Grid:

1: - (A), - (B), - (C)
2: - (A), - (B), - (C)
3: - (A), - (B), - (C)
4: - (A), - (B), - (C)
5: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


P4 Grid:

2: - (A), - (B), - (C)
3: - (A), - (B), - (C)
4: - (A), - (B), - (C)
5: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


6th: Breeders' Cup Distaff (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (All Dirt P4, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


All DIRT P4 Grid:

6: - (A), - (B), - (C)
8: - (A), - (B), - (C)
10: - (A), - (B), - (C)
12: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


7th: Breeders' Cup Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P6, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


8th: Breeders' Cup Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Highland Falls 20-1
Best Value: #13 Newgate 20-1
Next Best: #12 Arthur's Ride 15-1
Exotics Use: #8 Pyrenees 30-1
Super Add: #6 Derma Sotogake 20-1


P5 Grid:

4: - (A), - (B), - (C)
5: - (A), - (B), - (C)
6: - (A), - (B), - (C)
7: - (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-12-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


P4 Grid:

5: - (A), - (B), - (C)
6: - (A), - (B), - (C)
7: - (A), - (B), - (C)
8: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


9th: Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G1), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


10th: Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


P4 Grid:

7: - (A), - (B), - (C)
8: - (A), - (B), - (C)
9: - (A), - (B), - (C)
10: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


11th: Breeders' Cup Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 More Than Looks 20-1
Next Best: #12 Carl Spackler 6-1
Exotics Use: #
Super Add: #
Hi-5 Play: #


12th: Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Post Time 12-1
Next Best: #9 Domestic Product 7-2
Exotics Use: #12 Mufasa 12-1
Super Add: #14 Skippylongstocking 4-1
Hi-5 Play: #4 Katonah 30-1


P5 Grid:

8: - (A), - (B), - (C)
9: - (A), - (B), - (C)
10: - (A), - (B), - (C)
11: - (A), - (B), - (C)
12: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


P4 Grid:

9: - (A), - (B), - (C)
10: - (A), - (B), - (C)
11: - (A), - (B), - (C)
12: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : Today at 02:06 PM.
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  #3  
Old Today, 11:33 AM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,244
Default

DMR SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : Today at 12:35 PM.
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