10/12: Keeneland (X-C P5 w/ BAQ 7-9th)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND ~ CROSS COUNTRY P5/BAQ 7-8-9


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 El Muheet 8-1
Next Best: #4 Lucky Mischief 5-2
Best Value: #6 Maui Strong 15-1
Exotics Use: #5 Blue Chair Bay 7-2


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

5: 4-5-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x2x2 = 16 x $3 = $48


BELMONT 7th (3:17p): Floral Park, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Loon Cry 4-1
Best Value: #9 Mohawk Trail 10-1
Next Best: #3 Love Appeals 6-1
Exotics Use: #2 Hollywood Walk 10-1


Cross Country P5 Grid:

BAQ 7: 1-3-9 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)
KEE 6: 4-8 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
BAQ 8: 2-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
BAQ 9: 5-8 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)
KEE 8: 5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x4x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups (ACAAA + AAAAC): 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-6 in KEE 6) + 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3 in KEE 8)


KEENELAND 6th (3:40p): OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Gold Luck 12-1
Next Best: #4 Giant Mischief 6-5
Exotics Use: #3 Bromley 9-2
Super Add: #6 Lofty Adjudicator 10-1


BELMONT 8th (3:49p): NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Runningwscissors 6-1
Best Value: #2 Born Dancer 15-1
Next Best: #5 Betterluckythangood 3-1
Exotics Use: #8 Laurel Valley 10-1


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Mezcal Mule 8-1
Next Best: #6 Keepsake 3-1
Next Best Value: #5 Princess Aliyah 10-1
Exotics Use: #12 My Little Punky 5-1


BELMONT 9th (4:20p): ALW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Pentathlon 3-1
Best Value: #5 Certified Loverboy 15-1
Next Best: #9 Rocketeer 5-2
Exotics Use: #3 Escalation Clause 7-2


KEENELAND 8th (4:44p): QEII Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Soprano 7-2
Next Best: #3 She Feels Pretty 5-2
Best Value: #2 Caitlinhergrtness 12-1
Exotics Use: #10 Candala 9-2


9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Best Value: #4 King Kumbalay 8-1
Next Best: #11 Komorebino Omoide 9-5
Exotics Use: #10 Baton Rouge 9-2
Super Add: #9 Bartulia 30-1


10th: ALW/N2L, 2yo, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Coal Battle 12-1
Next Best: #1 Poster 5-1
Exotics Use: #12 Curahee 9-2
Super Add: #6 The Brigade 8-1


P5 Grid:

6: 4-8 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
7: 6-8 (A), 5-12 (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
9: 4-9-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 6-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x1x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups (CAAAA + AACAA): 2x2x1x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (3-6 in 6th) + 2x2x1x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (3 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

7: 6-8 (A), 5-12 (B), - (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), 2-6-10 (C)
9: 4-9-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 6-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups (ACAA): 2x3x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-6-10 in 8th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve