10/9: Keeneland ($266k Early P5 C/O)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

$266k Early P5 C/O starts here..

Tricky start to challenging sequence..

Best Value: #1 Never Sway 6-1
Next Best: #3 Forever Home 9-5
Exotics Use: #8 Ella Frances 10-1
Super Add: #2 Simple Souvenir 12-1


2nd: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Messy maiden claiming affair..

Best Value: #6 D Day 12-1
Next Best: #7 River Ridge 9-2
Exotics Use: #1 Idiosyncracies 6-1
Super Add: #12 Masked Man 7-2


3rd: CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Other than 15-1 Chryso Alogo, field is separated by a length on best. 6-5 Invulnerable goes turf to dirt while dropping first time for a tag..

Most Likely: #1 Invulnerable 6-5
Best Value: #2 Dutch Mills 6-1
Next Best: #5 Normandy Hero 9-2
Exotics Use: #6 Crew Dragon 8-1


4th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Off the 'lost rider' line last time, Stage Left's dive to $16k feels like a classic Jacobson dare to claim..

Most Likely: #1 Stage Left 2-1
Next Best: #2 Tallahatchiebridge 4-1
Exotics Use: #6 Appeal Denied 6-1
Super Add: #5 Santa Cruiser 12-1


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Long on the grass and it's several that have had their chances versus a few whose early tries can be forgiven..

Most Likely: #3 Adrasteia 9-2
Best Value: #8 I Am the Sauce 20-1
Next Best: #6 Fifth of May 5-1
Exotics Use: #10 Estuary 8-1


P5 Grid:

1: - (A), - (B), - (C)
2: - (A), - (B), - (C)
3: - (A), - (B), - (C)
4: - (A), - (B), - (C)
5: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


P4 Grid:\

2: - (A), - (B), - (C)
3: - (A), - (B), - (C)
4: - (A), - (B), - (C)
5: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


7th: OC/N2X, 3yo-F, 6f (DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


P5 Grid:

4: - (A), - (B), - (C)
5: - (A), - (B), - (C)
6: - (A), - (B), - (C)
7: - (A), - (B), - (C)
8: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


P4 Grid:

5: - (A), - (B), - (C)
6: - (A), - (B), - (C)
7: - (A), - (B), - (C)
8: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:
Backup ():


Let's get lucky!
Steve