2/15: Fair Grounds (4th-14th)

[Kasept]

FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Sierra November 6/1 4th
Next Best: #5 Bundle 9/2 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Atarah 3/1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Velvet Devil 9/2 2nd


5th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Yeesh.. Marcus Hersh was right about this. It's a quagmire and 100% guesswork..

Best Value: #12 Moonlight 12/1 3rd
Next Best: #6 St. Armands Key 8/1 WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Sand Pipes 4/1 4th
Super Add: #10 Frost Mountain 10/1 10th


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Ahavah 3/1 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #4 Daring Madison 7/2 4th
Best Value: #7 Pronghorn 8/1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Unwavering Trust 6/1 2nd


7th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Development Fee 7/2 5th
Next Best: #5 Kalahari Dreams 3/1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Retribution 4/1 WON ($13.00)
Super Add: #3 Unique Mischief 10/1 9th


P4 Grid:

4: 2-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-6-12 (A), 7-10-11 (B), - (C)
6: 1 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
7: 5-8 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x1x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x3x1x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (AACA): 3x3x1x2 = 18 x .50 = $9 (4 in 6th)


8th: Col. Power, 4+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 No Nay Hudson 9/2 4th
Best Value: #4 Guilded Ruler 8/1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Mansa Musa 7/2 WON ($5.80)
Super Add: #5 Swift as I Am 15/1 7th


9th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Coffee Talk 4/1 6th
Next Best: #2 Cromwell 3/1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Only in America 4/1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Yinzer 8/1 WON ($24.40)


P5 Grid:

5: 3-6-12 (A), 7-10-11 (B), - (C)
6: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-8 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)
8: 10 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
9: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 xx .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 xx .50 = $36 (4-6 in 8th)


10th: Al Stall Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Nanda Dea 7/2 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #2 Ghostly Gal 12/1 8th
Best Value: #8 Tufani 10/1 5th


P4 Grid:

7: 3-5-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x3x3x1 = $36 ($18 for each .50)


11th: Mineshaft (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD

A wildly competitive group and highly encouraging for the prospects of the '25 Handicap Division with new 4yo's Catching Freedom, Hall of Fame, Maycocks Bay, Batten Down & Tuscan Sky assembling here..

Most Likely: #5 Catching Freedom 3/1 7th
Best Value: #6 Maycocks Bay 10/1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Hall of Fame 4/1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Korembino Omiode 8/1 2nd


12th: Fair Grounds (G3), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Unit Economics 5/1 5th
Best Value: #5 Relampago Verde 8/1 7th
Next Best: #8 Taking Candy 4/1 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Higgins Boat 8/1 2nd


13th: Rachel Alexandra (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Good Cheer 4/1 WON ($2.10)
Next Best: #4 Gowells Delight 12/1 2nd


14th: Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 9f

Best Value: #1 American Promise 12/1 5th
Next Best: #4 East Avenue 9/5 10th
Exotics Use: #12 Vamos Carlitos 30/1 9th
Super Add: #10 Render Judgement 12/1 8th


P5 Grid:

10: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-5-6-8 (A), 1-2-3-7 (B), - (C)
12: 3-5-8 (A), 1-2-9 (B), - (C)
13: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
14: 1-4 (A), - (B), 10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x8x6x1x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x4x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAAC): 1x4x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (10-12 in 14th)


P4 Grid:

11: 4-5-6-8 (A), 1-2-3-7 (B), - (C)
12: 3-5-8 (A), 1-2-9 (B), - (C)
13: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
14: 1-4 (A), - (B), 10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x6x1x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 4x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 4x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (10-12 in 14th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

[Kasept]

SCR/CHG’S: https://www.equibase.com/static/late....7xd5GYFp.dpbs