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#1
01-21-2011, 07:27 AM
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1/21: Gulfstream (6th-10th)
There's a reason David Milch has titled his upcoming HBO series about the game 'Luck', and one glance at how Aqueduct's late P4 worked out will demonstrate why. Feature race winner Rein King was only going to be able to win the 8th if all other possible pace types took back or simply didn't apply pressure. That scenario materialized, and bug boy Brian Pedroza sailed home at 8-1 to guarantee a quality payout in the quad. When L L Flying Notes corralled without excuse 3-5 Good to Be Me in deep stretch in the 9th, the reward was an $867 P4 on a $45 play. The beauty of multi-race wagering is that it allows you to employ horses that will be successful in less-than-likely scenarios. When they benefit within the sequence, it deliver bonus payouts to you for using your imagination. It was an especially fun Aqueduct afternoon given Lloydobler's entertaining placement in the day's 3rd race. The gelding ran his best race since last winter, and snapped back towards his career best figs. Hope you did well... Gulfstream has the important action today and the Big A has been cancelled anyway due to snow!
GULFSTREAM POST-SCRATCHES OFF THE TURF ONCE AGAIN 6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #10 Albali 9th Next Best: #13 Developing Story 8th Exotics Use: #15 Dandy's Essence 3rd Super Add: #6 Kate's Holiday 2nd 7th: MSW, 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super) As discussed Thursday with Mike Welsch, this is a rather unremarkable looking group. And the faves are not markedly better than the prices.. Best Value: #1 Deed It Is 5-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Dance City 8-5 WON ($3.60 Exotics Use: #6 Trouble for Tiger 6-1 8th Super Add: #5 Where's the Beef 6-1 4th 8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #11 Island School 12-1 WON ($17.80) Next Best: #5 Mirimichi Babe 6-1 10th Exotics Use: #2 Call Again 15-1 8th Super Add: #7 Mae Ruler 20-1 9th 9th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 9f (DD, Super) Will likely produce some Fountain of Youth starters, but let's wait and see what we get here before annointing anyone.. Most Likely: #2 LATE SCRATCH Next Best: #4 Cool Blue Red Hot 4-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Lauburu 6-1 5th Super Add: #5 Beamer 6-1 3rd 10th: MDN CLM, 4+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (Super) Best Value: #1 Stern 8-1 WON ($6.80) Next Best: #7 SCRATCH Exotics Use: #6 SCRATCH Super Add: #9 Career High 5-1 2nd <$50 P5 Play: 6: 6-10-13-15 7: 1-4-6 8: 11 9: 2-4 10: 1-6-7-9 4x3x1x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 .50 CENT Pick 5 (12-4-11-2/3-1) 4 Correct Paid: $10.80 X 4 = $43.20 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-4-6 8: 2-5-7-11 9: 2-4-6 10: 1-6-7-9 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 .50 Pick 4 (4-11-2/3-1) 4 Correct Paid: $140.70 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 01-21-2011 at 06:18 PM. 
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#3
01-21-2011, 10:36 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
01-21-2011, 12:00 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
01-21-2011, 01:50 PM
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 This is not to say, of course, as some of the in-the-kniow types would quickly point out, that it's possible to get all horses to change leads on a consistent (by, say, focusing on turn training). After all, of all the dogs that Pavlov conditioned, I'm sure there were some that he just couldn't get to salivate when they heard that bell.
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#7
01-21-2011, 02:05 PM
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Scratch #7 in the last race
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#8
01-21-2011, 02:27 PM
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They don't card that many allowance races for 3-year olds at that distance. Wonder if they'll take a shot at the Holy Bull now, next weekend?
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#9
01-21-2011, 03:35 PM
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Great call on the 11 Steve.
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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#10
01-21-2011, 03:45 PM
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Race 9
#5 Beamer, I think this is a race to catapult him into the 3 years old picture. I think Nafzger is moving this colt along in a good way. The time he ran at Tampa was very fast, but I think today we will learn if the talent is coming along.
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#14
01-21-2011, 06:17 PM
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 Hope everybody that played did well! Should be a fun weekend...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 01-22-2011 at 04:11 AM.
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#15
01-21-2011, 06:57 PM
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__________________
Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them
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