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Old 06-05-2015, 04:19 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,678
Default 6/5: Belmont Park (True North/Gold Cup; $150k Guaranteed P6)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Lady Serena 2-1 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #3 Mei Ling 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Two Taps 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Garden Princess 5-1 5th


2nd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Speightster 5-2 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #6 Indian Brut 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Lewys Vaporizer 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Joking 12-1 2nd


3rd: Jersey Girl, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Cavorting 5-2 WON ($9.20)
Best Value: #1 Noble and a Beauty 8-1
Next Best: #4 Enchantress 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Enchanting Lady 8-5 2nd


4th: Tremont, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Uncle Vinny 5-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Cocked and Loaded 8-1 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #4 Cat Tree 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Paynes Prarie 8-1 2nd


5th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Debut of Uncle Mo full brother Indian Trail who has impressed DRF Clocker Dave Norton upstate..

Most Likely: #6 Indian Trail 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Blame It On Vino 15-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Bow Tie Boss 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Unpretentious 20-1 10th


P5 Grid:

1: 2-3-5-6-8
2: 2-3-5-6-7-8-10
3: 1-4-5-7
4: 7
5: 6

5x7x4x1x1 = 140 x .50 = $70


P4 Grid:

2: 3-6 (A), 2-5-7 (B), 8-10 (C)
3: 1-5 (A), 2-4-7 (B), - (C)
4: 7 (A), 1-4-10 (B), 5 (C)
5: 6 (A), - (B), 2-5-10-11-12 (C)


6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Terrific group. Couldn't find room for My Miss Sophia, Nisharona and Fresh Feline!

Most Likely: #4 Chocolatier 3-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Fade to Black 10-1 7th
Next Best: #2 My Miss Sophia 7-2 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #1 Fashion Fund 8-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #1 Lookaroundcorners 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #13 Tiz Time to Shake 15-1 11th
Next Best: #14 Amigo 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Lottery Ticket 15-1 6th


8th: True North (G2), 4+, 6f (P3, DD, True North-Met Mile Double)

Very tricky read on good group where you have to speculate on form cycles for pecking order. For instance, Dad's Caps worst effort was off identical Carter win and 62 day break..

Most Likely: #8 Rock Fall 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #6 Eastwood 10-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Tenango 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Favorite Tale 6-1 5th


9th: New York (G2), F&M-4+, 10f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Stephanie's Kitten 3-5 3rd/4th
Best Value: #6 Beauty Parlor 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 White Rose 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Waltzing Matilda 12-1 WON ($47.40)


10th: Belmont Gold Cup, 4+, 16f-T (Gold Cup-Belmont Stakes Double)

Most Likely: #5 Red Rifle 7-2 9th
Best Value: #9 Manchurian High 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Unitarian 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Innovation Economy 5-1 WON ($7.00)


P4 Grid:

7: 1 (A), 11 (B), 6-9-13-14 (C)
8: 6-8 (A), 1-2-4-5-7 (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
10: 5-9 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-11 (C)


Good luck!
Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 06-05-2015 at 05:00 PM.
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  #2  
Old 06-05-2015, 10:04 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,678
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BEL SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 06-05-2015, 11:04 AM
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atolunch atolunch is online now
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,219
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Steve,

Thanks as always for your time, insights and help leading up to this much anticipated weekend.

I love that they added another two day wager, just adds to the excitement.

Best of luck to a very successful Belmont!
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