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11-03-2017, 04:06 PM
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Del Mar Breeders' Cup Saturday November 4th
Race 1:
#9 Majestic Heat #10 Madame Stripes #1 On Leave #11 Aljazzi Race 2: #1 Smokem #6 Bookies Luck #2 Night At the Opera #5 Lucky Romano Race 3: #5 Sound And Silence #1 Fairyland #8 Out of The Flames #4 El Dulce Race 4: #7 Moonshine Memories: Undefeated and a strong winner in the Chandelier. #3 Princess Warrior: Impressive debut, running faster than older F&M stakes runners later on the card. Got a bit too far back last time but that was a nice prep for this. #9 Alluring Star: Sped away a bit too quickly when routing for the first time but her stamina will be all the better from it. #10 Maya Malibu: All stamina on the bottom, and the stretch to two-turns can only help. Race 5: #3 Lady Aurelia: To destroy a world class field like she did at Ascot under a light hand ride is something you don't see often. Unlucky to lose on a bob and I don't think she saw the winner until very late as there was quite some space between them. She showed at Keeneland that she can relax and other than Marsha's win over her, none of these have run close to the ratings she's run this year. #6 Marsha: Top class filly but with the bend and compact field she might have traffic issues to deal with. #1 Disco Partner: Another that might get stuck behind runners from the rail draw. #10 Hogy: Consistent sort who's always there late. Race 6: #10 Highway Star: Only has two losses around one-turn: to Songbird and Paid Up Subscriber at 8.5f and she couldn't get past #7 when that one set a dawdling pace. Has the right running style for this race and will be a good price. #11 Unique Bella: 3yo looks the part but this is her toughest test to date, doesn't have standout numbers, and will be short odds. #14 Ami's Mesa: Ignore the turf tries and her only loss is when she got run down late off an extended layoff. Very impressive win two back and showed she could ship last time out. Dam could handle the dirt and this one has two strong 5f works on the dirt training track at WO. Wide post but should be able to get a nice stalking trip. #12 Sky Diamonds: Former claimer has really blossomed as a 4yo , but has gotten some perfect trips in small fields. Race 7: #11 Nezwaah: Willing to excuse her last as her best races have come on faster ground. Showed much improvement to start her 4yo season by winning easily and then put in a tremendous performance to take out a G1 at the Curragh. Not disgraced behind Enable on a bit softer ground at York when beaten for stamina at 12f. The way she shaped up at the Curragh as well as at Woodbine last year suggests 9f shouldn't be an issue and she doesn't get Lasix this time around. #8 Grand Jete: Much improved since coming Stateside. Very game on the front end last time when going a bit further than she prefers. Unlucky in the Beverly D when blocked and got out too late. #14 Rhododendron: Back to her best when taking out the Prix de l'Opera. Wide draw of no concern to the UK punters who have her favoured at the moment. #9 Lady Eli: Grand mare has never finished out of the top two, but I don't think she's been at her best this year. She's faced small fields that were weaker than this and hasn't been overly impressive when winning. She also doesn't have a prep this year and her best races haven't come fresh. Race 8: #2 Drefong: Champ returned to the Spa for another dominant win. With the other speeds showing recently that they can rate, I think he can wire them again. #8 Roy H: Much improved since being gelded, with his only loss being when he was pushed out six wide by the top pick (when riderless) while the winner went up the inside. #10 Imperial Hint: Castellano barely moved a muscle on him when breaking the track record at Parx in his last. Could be anything, but now gets the acid test. #7 Takaful: Showed a new dimension by stalking in his recent but this is his toughest test to date. Race 9: #6 Zelzal: Sent off favoured in a quality G1 against older at the end of last season coming off an easy light hand-ride win in the Prix Jean Plat. Took a long vacation and the winner of his return run since went on to run 2nd to Ribchester and win a G2. Nothing wrong with his last two on soft ground, when competitive against Ribchester and last out he shaped up as if he was going to roll by but started spinning his wheels on the surface and was beaten for the last bit of speed going 7f. His only poor run came down the straight and there's lots of inside speed to set it up for him. #14 is also a leader and is also owned by Al Shaqab, and could potentially be used to soften things up early. #5 World Approval: Top class horse has really found his home in his last two as a miler. Gave away 12lbs to Lancaster Bomber at Woodbine and never once looked in doubt. Looks to get a great stalking trip behind the inside speed and should get first run. #10 Ribchester: Europe's top-rated miler has had the "excuse" of losing twice this season on soft ground, but he had previously won a G1 and G3 over soft going, so he is a bit vulnerable. Even though the stud fee is already decided I'm not worried about this being "an afterthought" for him as he also had the chance to go to Japan for a lucrative bonus and potentially continue to HK for a swansong. He relaxed quietly behind tearaway leaders in the Queen Anne and has only been once out of the money (when DQ'ed from 3rd to 5th). #13 Blackjackcat: 4yo course and distance specialist on the improve and has reeled off 4 in a row since routing again with the blinkers back on. Has the ability to stalk and can surprise at a price. Race 10: #2 Solomini: I think he's got a chance to turn the tables on the fav here. Gained a lot of experience from that second start where he was caught deep around the course. Can only improve off that run and Baffert will have him primed. #11 Bolt d'Oro: Much the one to beat, but have to be a bit cautious that he might bounce off such a huge performance. #12 Hollywood Star: He's progressed with every start and will be fitter for this. #5 Free Drop Billy: Albarado stays here but looks a bit of an underlay. #10 reported took to the dirt well and is bred for that surface on the bottom. Race 11: SCR of Ulysses is annoying as I was against him. #9 Seventh Heaven: Ran a great race last year at an unsuitable 10f but this 12f trip fits better. She's destroyed Found and One Foot in Heaven over this distance and was held up in last year's Champions Stakes. Her last two have been awful, but she much prefers it firmer. Yes, she ran 2nd in Dubai on yielding ground but that track was nowhere near as wet as her last two. If you can look past her last two, she rates a big chance and is a huge overlay. #6 Cliffs of Moher: Looks to be Coolmore's third string but he is dangerous. Only ran once at 12f when running an excellent 2nd in the Derby, ahead of Cracksman, and has had excuses since then. In the Coral Eclipse he got checked hard early and shuffled back, in the Juddmonte he was sent to the lead which isn't his game, in the Irish Champion he was pinned against the rail, and he didn't handle the soft going last out at Ascot. #7 Itsinthepost: Very consistent runner who is at his best at these distances. Duel through a ridiculous pace at Monmouth and got shuffled and lost first run in the Del Mar Handicap. Will be a huge overlay and can surprise. #3 Highland Reel: Not concerned about there being speed drawn deep that are forced to send due to the turn coming up early after the start because he can relax and win, and shown in the Prince of Wales's. He relishes this firm surface and American type racing, but that effort two weeks ago may have taken a lot out of him. #13 underneath, but may come too late because of the wide draw. Race 12: #8 West Coast: The 3yo who has improved the most as the year progressed. Another step forward puts him in contention at a good price. #5 Gun Runner: Twice beaten by Arrogate, but he's the one in form and the one to beat. Just question his ability at 10f with this kind of speed. #1 Arrogate: If he runs to his best he's the winner, but has too many questions. Did Dubai take too much out of him? Does he handle DMR? #9 Gunnevera: Can be dangerous to clunk up late if given a more patient ride. $0.60 Pick Five Race 1: 1, 9, 10, 11 Race 2: 1, 2, 5, 6 Race 3: 1, 5 Race 4: 3, 7, 9, 10 Race 5: 3 $76.80 $0.60 Middle Pick Four Race 5: 3 Race 6: 1, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14 Race 7: 1, 2, 5, 7, 8, 9, 11, 13, 14 Race 8: 2, 8, 10 $97.20 $0.60 Late Pick Four Race 9: 5, 6, 10, 13 Race 10: 2, 5, 11, 12 Race 11: 3, 6, 7, 9 Race 12: 1, 5, 8 $115.20 Good luck! Last edited by Kitan : 11-04-2017 at 06:42 AM. 
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