8/27: Saratoga (Day 32; NY Showcase)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: Funny Cide-NY, 2yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

$400k KEE SEP yearling by Curlin an open debut winner for Baffert at DMR invades to face own kind today..

Most Likely: #5 Montebello 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Bourbon's Hope 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Run Curtis Run 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Happy Happy B 6-1 3rd


5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Favored Caumsett (5-2) & No Payne (3-1) easily have best form while proving win shy. Firster Sinfully Sweet (7-2) could be viable alternative..

Best Value: #2 Sinfully Sweet 7-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Caumsett 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 No Payne 3-1 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #5 Baudi Moovan 6-1 6th


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

If #1a (POE) Chasing Cara is the half of entry that comes out, Jamaica Joy SCR'd would be controlling (if not lone) speed..

Best Value: #5 My Girl Annie 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 I'm Fine 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Ok Honey 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1a Chasing Cara 10-1 3rd


7th: Fleet Indian-NY, 3yo-F, 9f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Hard to resist inflated 6-1 number on constantly improving NY Oaks winner A Bit o'Irish Sass..

Best Value: #5 A Bit o'Irish Sass 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Make Mischief 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Coffee Bar 5-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Pay Grade 6-1 3rd


8th: West Point-NY, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Rinaldi obvious horse to beat with potential options either questionable at the trip, a little slow or not in best form..

Most Likely: #2 Rinaldi 7-5 5th
Next Best: #7 City Man 9-2 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #3 Graded On a Curve 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Therapist 4-1 2nd


P6 P5 Grid:

4: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-7 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
6: 5-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
7: 5-9 (A), - (B), 2-6-8 (C)
8: 2 (A), 7 (B), 1-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x4x2x2 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x3x2x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $18 (2-6-8) + $24 (1-3)


9th: Albany-NY, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Seemingly a 9f gathering with real pace..

Most Likely: #2 Americanrevolution 9-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #5 Bobby Bo 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Our Man Mike 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Bingo John 8-1 8th


2-Day/$2 P4 Grid:

FRI 9: 2-5 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
FRI 10: 2-10 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
SAT 10: 2-5-6 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
SAT 12: 2 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x1 = 40 x $2 = $80
All A's: 2x2x3x1 = 12 x $2 = $24
Backups: $24 (4-8) + $24 (1)


10th: Yaddo-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Interesting group with Kilkea a dirtied up 15-1 and threat to wire under Prat..

Most Likely: #2 Classic Lady 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Kilkea 15-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Chocolate Cookie 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Myhartblongstodady 8-5 2nd


11th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #1 Eight Weeks Long 8-1 2nd-Up via DQ
Next Best: #8 Fast Gordon 7-2 WON-Up via DQ ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #7 War Novel 8-1 5th
Super Add: #9 High Tone 6-1 8th


P5 Grid:

7: 5-9 (A), - (B), 2-6-8 (C)
8: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
10: 2-10 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
11: 1-8 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups: $24 (2-6-8) + $16 (1-3) + $16 (4-8)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-5 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
10: 2-10 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
11: 1-8 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups: $16 (4-8)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[ADJMK]

Eight Weeks Long wins if Franco doesn't knock him sideways