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  #1  
Old 08-31-2008, 05:29 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,674
Default 8/31: Saratoga (Spinaway; Saranac)

The highly anticipated closing weekend Saturday produced underwhelming results all around, though Warn and Freedom Bay helped keep the afternoon from being a fiasco at the windows. First Defense's runaway win in the Forego was impressive, while Curlin's workaday performance in the Woodward was humdrum and yawn-inducing. Final Sunday of the meet has some OK spots as I continue to look forward to Monday and a break... Hope you did well Saturday...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Shaami 4-1
Best Value: #5 Sacred Icon 5-1
Next Best: #4 Ya Think 3-1 WON
Super Add: #8 Stolen Greeting 12-1


MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Zito entry 9-5
Next Best: #8 Big Flirt 7-2
Best Value: #6 Mr. Jolson 15-1


3rd: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Retribution 3-1
Best Value: #9 Sky Dragon 6-1
Next Best: #3 Hangingbyathread 5-1


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

How is a Super not available here? This is one of the day's best betting races with some logical 'troubled trip last out' runners and 2-3 well priced 'must use' types..

Most Likely: #7 Americas Dreaming 5-2
Best Value: #6 Classofsixtythree 20-1
Next Best: #2 Bambolina 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #3 Scintillation 5-1

SPOT PLAY: Key 6 1st/2nd in tris with 2-3-5-7 (1x4x3 = 12 x 2 = $24.00)


5th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Love for a Price 5-2
Best Value: #10 Walkabout Winner 6-1 WON
Next Best: #9 Tom and Dicks Girl 4-1
Exotics Use: #11 Magic Shop 15-1


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-8
3: 1-9
4: 2-3-6-7
5: 8-9-10

2x2x4x3 = $48


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Amanwella 4-1
Best Value: #6 Song of Charm 20-1
Next Best: #13 Critical 5-1
Super Add: #3 Pearl of Valor 12-1


7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Crazy race..

Most Likely: #2 Secret Gypsy 2-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Victorious Dream 20-1
Next Best: #8 A Rose for You 12-1
Super Add: #9 Dulcet Tone 6-1


8th: The Caveat Comptor, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Zubani 20-1
Most Likely: #1 Sea Chanter 3-1
Next Best: #5 Remarkable Remy 10-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Ready for Fortune 12-1


9th: The Saranac (Gr. III), 3yo, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Ready's Echo 5-2
Best Value: #6 Marlang 5-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Nistle's Crunch 3-1
Super Add: #4 Schopenhauer 12-1


10th: The Spinaway (Gr. I), 2yo-F, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Mani Bhavan 5-2
Best Value: #4 Jardin 5-1
Next Best: #3 Casanova Move 4-1
Super Add: #1 Girlfrienontheside 15-1


11th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Talented Princess 5-1
Best Value: #8 Spirited Seacat 15-1
Next Best: #1 Whateverwillbwillb 8-1
Super Add: #9 Positive Prospect 9-2


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-3-4-5
9: 5-6
10: 3-4-8
11: 1-3-8

4x2x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-01-2008 at 07:06 AM.
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  #2  
Old 08-31-2008, 08:53 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
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Location: Mission Viejo, CA
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Default

4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

How is a Super not available here? This is one of the day's best betting races with some logical 'troubled trip last out' runners and 2-3 well priced 'must use' types..

Same reason as I had called into the show about a couple days ago... superfectas are not offered in NY on any races with coupled entries. Yet another reason to do away with them.

On a side note, why was there no Sixty Minute Six yesterday? Website listed it as 'cancelled'... I hope they didn't can it already...
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  #3  
Old 08-31-2008, 09:05 AM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
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Isn't the Saranac the same race Rock Lobster won 2 years ago? Now he's running for a 35k tag.
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  #4  
Old 08-31-2008, 12:05 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default Race 6

I've been eagerly waiting for this Carroll horse to run back, but now that I look at her first race again more objectively I'm not quite as impressed. I'll probably throw some money on her so if she wins I don't go insane, but not the type of money I was planning to bet. . .
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  #5  
Old 08-31-2008, 01:11 PM
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Ronnie Ronnie is offline
Lincoln Fields
 
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Location: Albany, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
On a side note, why was there no Sixty Minute Six yesterday? Website listed it as 'cancelled'... I hope they didn't can it already...
I thought I got an email that was the last one scheduled, there was no carryover and there was lack of interest. They will evaluate if they will have it next year.
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  #6  
Old 08-31-2008, 01:34 PM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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Location: MIAMI
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how bout pletcher entry in the 4th to take it all the way
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  #7  
Old 08-31-2008, 01:37 PM
Coach Pants
 
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I like the 2 in the 4th
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  #8  
Old 08-31-2008, 01:55 PM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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Location: MIAMI
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good one pants. i went to key box your pick with mine in the 4th but there wasnt enough time. it was a nice tri. i will key distinctive doc in the 5th. he is 9-1 now and with no trouble jusy may hit the board for a tri
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  #9  
Old 08-31-2008, 02:09 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Thanks

I like The Ag in this race...not enough to bet though.
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  #10  
Old 08-31-2008, 02:33 PM
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eajinabi eajinabi is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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Posts: 1,755
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My pick of the day is CRITICAL in the 6th.

Working well at AQU only to be shipped to SAR today. Dutrow could easily wait for Belmont meet but seems to me this horse is fit and ready for today.
If he wins, it will cap off a decent pick 3 score for me.
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  #11  
Old 08-31-2008, 02:40 PM
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IrishofNDMan IrishofNDMan is offline
The Curragh
 
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Location: Michigan
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In the 6th I'm playing the 10 Sweet Ariette to win/place.
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  #12  
Old 08-31-2008, 03:47 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Late Pick 4
1,8,11
1,3
4,8
4,5,7
$36
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  #13  
Old 08-31-2008, 03:55 PM
Coach Pants
 
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That's what I get for picking Captain Suck-Up's horse over Kimmel's.
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  #14  
Old 08-31-2008, 04:25 PM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
Isn't the Saranac the same race Rock Lobster won 2 years ago? Now he's running for a 35k tag.
THE LOBSTER!!!!!
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  #15  
Old 08-31-2008, 05:13 PM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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steve alive with 3 nice ones in the pick 4
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  #16  
Old 08-31-2008, 05:24 PM
XIIPointStables XIIPointStables is offline
Washington Park
 
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Posts: 858
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Been playing most of the day with modest gain.

This #3 in the finale looks like they sort of pointed for this, if pointing to a claiming race is even possible. I would love to see Walder's Turf Route/Sprint - not that this is a perfect fit but 1 3/4 to a mile is a pretty serious cutback.
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  #17  
Old 08-31-2008, 05:29 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Taking Factual Number and also boxing with the 4,5.
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  #18  
Old 08-31-2008, 05:30 PM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
THE LOBSTER!!!!!

Rat Lobster....will never forgive him for winning that year.
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  #19  
Old 08-31-2008, 05:41 PM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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Location: MIAMI
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MISTERGEE
steve alive with 3 nice ones in the pick 4
damn ran 2nd
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