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  #1  
Old 08-21-2009, 05:53 AM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 8/21: Saratoga (Day 21; Lake Placid)

Straightforward day at the Spa Thursday and saw things pretty clearly with multiple on top winners, exotic hits, rolling P3's, Late P4 and 5/6 conso in the P6. Was rather chalky but the cashers added up nicely. Hope you did well.

PLEASE NOTE: I'll be unavoidably absent from the Spa and 'At the Races' for upwards of a week. Equidaily.com and Capital OTB-TV's Seth Merrow will guest host as much 'ATR' as he can starting today..


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Biogio's Rose, NYB 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Sapphire Sky 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #2 Karakorum Fugitive 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 What a Pair 5-1 4th


2nd: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 SCR
Most Likely: #2 Sal Paradise 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Option 3-1 WON
Super Add: #6 The Mayor 7-2 2nd


3rd: OC/N1X, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Thoroughly bizarre baby allowance..

Most Likely: #3 (POE) Red Rally 3-1 WON
Best Value: #1a (POE) Honor in Peace 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Soundman 5-2 2nd


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Book 6-1 10th
Most Likely: #8 Cappella Reale 2-1 WON
Exotics Use: #3 Mr. Devil May Care 15-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Malibu Gardens 12-1 2nd

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 1-3-8 with 1-3-8 with 1-3-5-7-8 with All (3x2x3x7 = 126 x .10 = $12.60)


5th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Came off the turf after start of raceday...

Best Value: #6 SCR
Most Likely: #9 SCR
Next Best: #8 SCR
Super Add: #10 SCR


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-6-7
3: 1-3-4
4: 1-3-8
5: (6-9 SCRATCHED)

4x3x3x2 = $72


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Interesting juvy set with sibs #2 Mind Over Matter (Choctaw Nation) and #1a Manaahil (Shakis) to consider (SCR). But fave #10 Awesome Maria has had time since just miss debut, and 8-1 Klesaris product #5 Sing My Song chased Adirondack show pony Magic Appeal in bow. Tom A. sends #4 Couture Cat (5-1), first daughter of the nice Petionville sprinter Runway Model, and Jolley-Roberts returnee Awesome Vow bulleted after even debut and should appreciate the added quarter mile..

Most Likely: #10 Awesome Maria 9-5 WON
Best Value: #5 Sing My Song 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Couture Cat 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Awesome Vow 12-1 6th


7th: ALW/N2L, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Luv Gov 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Brother Nick 12-1 WON
Next Best: #1e Zito entry 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Blue Whistler 6-1 5th


8th: 26th Lake Placid (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Keertana 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 My Magic Moment 12-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Consequence 4-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Shared Account 7-2 WON


9th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Came off the turf after start of raceday...

Most Likely: #1 SCR
Best Value: #3 One Diamond 15-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Handled Affair 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 SCR


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 10
7: 1-3-4-6-7-9
8: 3-5-7
9: (1-4/SCR) 3-9

1x6x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-22-2009 at 04:39 AM.
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  #2  
Old 08-21-2009, 06:59 AM
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atolunch atolunch is offline
Oaklawn
 
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Steve,

Congrats again yesterday on the great day! Here's to keeping it rolling.

Couple of quick notes:

In the early P4, you have #7 Telemachus as the BV pick, but use the #1 and #2 in the P4, which are your next two picks, not sure if that was intentional or not.

Also, please check race 8, I think My Magic Moment is the #7, not #6.

Thanks as always for the insights and tireless work. Good racing luck today.

Hope all is well.
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  #3  
Old 08-21-2009, 07:54 AM
2 Dollar Bill 2 Dollar Bill is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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Steve I think you have a cold exacta in the 7th race

# 6 Brother Nick
#1 Zito Entry

Cant get a better name angle then this one.
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  #4  
Old 08-21-2009, 11:05 AM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
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http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/SAR-changes.asp
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #5  
Old 08-21-2009, 11:52 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
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Posts: 7,440
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Steadily pouring for the past 45 minutes, and more thunderstorms on the way - would expect at least the first few turf races will be off and the track at least muddy
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  #6  
Old 08-21-2009, 01:36 PM
bahughes bahughes is offline
Louisiana Downs
 
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Location: Indianapolis
Posts: 321
Default p4?

My last horse in my pick four was scratched in the 5th race any one know what happens do i get the post time favorite ?
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  #7  
Old 08-21-2009, 01:43 PM
juice1134 juice1134 is offline
Les Bois
 
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yes you get the post time favorite
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  #8  
Old 08-21-2009, 02:03 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Unreal... Just unreal... both my horses scratch and then the favorite blows it... Gotta Love SaratoGAA. At least broke my streak of 5 first round P4 KO's...
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  #9  
Old 08-21-2009, 02:29 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Late Pick 4
3,5
1,9
3,4,8
2,8,13

meh.

Roll to the late pick 3

Last edited by Coach Pants : 08-21-2009 at 02:40 PM.
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  #10  
Old 08-21-2009, 02:53 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Why is 6-Brother Nick getting all this love ?
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  #11  
Old 08-21-2009, 03:03 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62
Why is 6-Brother Nick getting all this love ?
The reason is he wasn't on my ****ing ticket.... 5 ****ing deep and nada.,
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  #12  
Old 08-21-2009, 03:06 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Hey I was only 2 deep and it looked like the 9 wanted to f.uck him instead of pass him.
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  #13  
Old 08-21-2009, 03:09 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Hey I was only 2 deep and it looked like the 9 wanted to f.uck him instead of pass him.
Classic post...
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  #14  
Old 08-21-2009, 03:15 PM
chucklestheclown chucklestheclown is offline
Fairgrounds
 
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They were the only two I saw acting up and the 9 went in sans rider. I'm guessing they both wanted to get somewhere dry ASAP.
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