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#1
08-31-2013, 06:34 AM
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8/31: Saratoga (Day 38-Woodward, Forego)
Any day that sees horse or rider imperiled is challenging, but Friday was made impossibly sad by the death of Saginaw. A very difficult atmosphere pervaded the track as the news spread, with the Drawing Away people and all that follow the special horse devastated. The anguish seemed especially pronounced given the widespread view of Saginaw as an indestructible entity, but of course none of them are indestructible no matter how indomitable they appear. Saginaw was a horse that demanded respect through his accomplishments, earned widespread love with his kindness towards handlers and admirers and our gratitude for his generosity as a racehorse.
Closing Saturday delivers another slate of terrific action top to bottom. Overnight thunderstorms may leave the main wet early on.. SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD) Most Likely: #13 Motion Lounge 4th Next Best: #11 Another Page 7th Exotics Use: #4 John's Mariah 8th Super Add: #12 Swift Taylor 6th 2nd: MSW, 2yo, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD) This event coming off turf turns into an even bigger guessing game.. Most Likely: #2b FINANCIAL MOGUL 4-1 WON ($6.10) Best Value: #12 Mack Miller 5-1 2nd Next Best: #4 Patty and Nooche 6-1 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Ring Weekend 6-1 5th 3rd: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD) Repole-Pletcher don't Misconnect on 2yo's often, so outside Unbridled's Song grey obvious, but as we've discussed forever, Shug debuts at 7f with horses that he thinks can win immediately. Honor Code a half to Noble Tune and has worked smartly for bow.. Most Likely: #6 Honor Code 7-2 WON ($8.50) Next Best: #8 Misconnect 2-1 2nd Best Value: #3 Bro Rodrigeaux 15-1 4th Exotics Use: #4 Jackson and Lorimer 12-1 6th 4th: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD) Most Likely: #12 Most Happy Fella 2nd Best Value: #4 Idle American 4th Next Best: #1a North Ocean 3rd Exotics Use: #11 Box Office 5th 5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Commanding Curve 8-1 6th Best Value: #5 Canadian Winner 15-1 5th Exotics Use: #8 Village Warrior 2-1 2nd Super Add: #2 Grand Arrival 3-1 WON ($5.00) <$50 P4 Play: 2: 2 3: 3-4-6-8 4: 1-4-9-11-12 5: 2-4-5-8 1x4x5x4 = 80 x .50 = $40 6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD) Most Likely: #11 Carla Sweetrevenge 3-1 WON ($7.20) Next Best: #12 Rock N Cozy 4-1 3rd Best Value: #1 Accomplish First 5-1 7th Exotics Use: #2 Baal Perazim 20-1 5th 7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD) Outstanding group with a number of possibilities. Pace going to be more than honest, so look for the stalker-closer that suits your needs.. Most Likely: #10 Dawly 6-1 2nd Best Value: #5 So Raise Your Glass 12-1 4th Next Best: #6 Justa Runner 3-1 6th Exotics Use: #3 Tenango 9-2 WON ($8.20) 8th: 55th Bernard Baruch (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Silver Max 9-5 WON ($3.80) Next Best: #5 Tetradrachm 7-2 3rd Best Value: #3 Turallure 6-1 4th Exotics Use: #2 So Long George 8-1 5th 9th: 34th Forego (G1), 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Move of Fast Bullet to Lukas barn telegraphs a problem with notoriously ouchy 5yo, but entry still potent. Decision to start is pending on Saratoga Snacks SCRATCHED whose ongoing hoof problem has hindered him the last couple days.. Most Likely: #4 Sage Valley 7-2 5th Next Best: #1e Zayat entry 1-1 3rd/6th Best Value: #3 Jackson Bend 10-1 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Lea 12-1 4th 10th: 60th Woodward (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD) Even without Cross Traffic and Fort Larned, a compelling group. Mucho Macho Man a late SCR as the track condition gives Ritvo and Team Reeves pause.. Most Likely: #4 Flat Out 7-2 2nd Next Best: #2 Successful Dan 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #5 Paynter 2-1 5th Super Add: #1 Ron the Greek 8-1 4th 11th: CLM, 3+, 8.5-OFF THE TURF (DD) Most Likely: #14 Romancing the Gold 7-2 WON ($8.10) Best Value: #3 Kingofthebluegrass 6-1 2nd Next Best: #10 Bill of Rights 4-1 4th Exotics Use: #4 Fizzano 6-1 3rd 12th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f Wow.. Quite a scrambler to wrap up the day. Most Likely: #10 Whiskey Romeo 4-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Taproot 12-1 10th Next Best: #4 Chapman 8-1 3rd Exotics Use: #8 Stonely the Lonely 8-1 11th <$50 P4 Play: 9: 1-4 10: 1-2-4-5-7 11: 14 12: 4-5-6-7-8-10 2x5x1x6 = 30 x $1.50 = $45 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-31-2013 at 06:59 PM. 
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#2
08-31-2013, 08:38 AM
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Saratoga Snacks does come out of the Forego..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
08-31-2013, 11:22 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
08-31-2013, 12:25 PM
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Super sloppy track causes Mucho Macho Man to now come out of the Woodward as every conceivable contingency works to help Paynter...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
08-31-2013, 01:06 PM
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Nice call in the 3rd Steve....but missed the race listening to the President.
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"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
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#9
08-31-2013, 09:22 PM
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derby hoss
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#10
08-31-2013, 09:25 PM
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$140k SARATOGA C/O SUNDAY!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#11
08-31-2013, 09:27 PM
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Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#12
08-31-2013, 09:32 PM
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Quote:
My pleasure. Glad you caught that! Romancing there and Financial Mogul looked so strong and came through as singles, but I didn't as much out of them as intended. Hope everyone did well!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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