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#1
10-12-2013, 03:45 AM
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10/12: Belmont Park (7th-10th); Keeneland ($58k P5 C/O)
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 7th: 54th Knickerbocker (G3), 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD) Terrific edition of this old fall standard sees Boisterous looking for unprecedented 3rd straight. As a sidebar, Phipps' Shady Character was the first horse to win back-to-back Knickerbockers in 1974-75 with Cordero. Boisterous marooned outside for this tricky voyage on the Inner Turf but gets hot-riding Castellano with Velazquez at KEE. Za Approval may like the pace scenario going 9f. Tetradrachm appears set for best and should have first run on pace-setting Plainview. Mr. Commons will save ground under savvy Solis who may be ideal pilot for disappointing Artie Schiller colt that hasn't won since February '12.. Most Likely: #7 Za Approval 3-1 WON ($5.50) Best Value: #10 Tetradrachm 8-1 4th Next Best: #11 Boisterous 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #2 Mr. Commons 6-1 7th 8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Ithastobegeorge 4-1 4th Next Best: #7 Truth Is 7-2 3rd Best Value: #9 Whatabouthonor 10-1 7th Exotics Use: #8 Confrontation 3-1 WON ($7.20) 9th: 36th Athenia (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD) Quirky group for this and as discussed Friday on ATR, My Perfect Ten is not the craziest 20-1 shot you'll latch on to. Pianist and Assateague are the speeds up front and if either takes back at all, the other will win.. Best Value: #2 My Perfect Ten 20-1 6th Next Best: #3 Samitar 7-5 3rd Exotics Use: #5 Pianist 5-2 WON ($7.90) Super Add: #7 Assateague 5-1 5th 10th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT Most Likely: #4 Deterrent 7-5 2nd Next Best: #7 Upward 3-1 WON ($13.20) Best Value: #5 Out of Your Mind 20-1 6th Exotics Use: #1 Force Multiplier 10-1 10th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 2-7-10-11 8: 1-7-8-9 9: 2-3-5-7 10: 4-7 4x4x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64 $0.50 Pick 4 (1,4,7,8,12/8/5/7) Paid $101.87 KEENELAND POST-SCRATCHES 6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 12f-T (P5, P3, DD) $58,222 P5 C/O starts here.. KEE has run 12f-T events 8 times the last calendar year and despite some slow paces, few horses at the front have succeeded.. Most Likely: #11 Cape Savannah 5-1 4th Next Best: #6 Wings of Fortune 6-1 2nd Best Value: #9 Knights Nation 20-1 3rd Exotics Use: #10 Formidable Heart 9-2 WON ($18.00) 7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Toni's Hollyday 5-1 4th Best Value: #9 Aurella's Belle 6-1 WON ($5.40) Next Best: #3 Place Card 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #2 T. R. Indy 10-1 8th 8th: ALW/N1X, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD) Favored Milam cuts back out of Pocahontas for Kenneally and should prove tough.. Most Likely: #5 Milam 5-2 2nd Best Value: #6 Maco Light 5-1 5th Next Best: #4 Angie's Prim Lady 9-2 4th Exotics Use: #8 Cynical Storm 3-1 WON ($7.80) 9th: 30th QE II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD) Typically outstanding cast of soph gals assemble for this including Say, Coolmore Galileo run-back out of last week's squishy First Lady.. Most Likely: #4 Alterite 9-5 2nd Best Value: #2 Say 10-1 5th Next Best: #9 I'm Already Sexy 8-1 6th Exotics Use: #3 Caroline Thomas 12-1 3rd 10th: MCLM/$30k, F&M-3+, 6f (Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #5 Cue E Dee 10-1 8th Best Value: #4 Artful Lady 12-1 5th Exotics Use: #12 Vice Dancer 10-1 3rd Super Add: #6 Broken Blues 15-1 6th <$100 P5 Play: 6: 6-11 7: 3-4-9 8: 4-5-6-8 9: 2-4 10: 4-5-6-12 2x3x4x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96 <$50 P4 Play: 7: 3-4-9 8: 4-5-6-8 9: 2-4 10: 4-5-6-12 3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-13-2013 at 05:06 AM. 
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#2
10-12-2013, 09:44 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
10-12-2013, 10:01 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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