Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-20-2014, 12:42 AM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,208
Default Parx Saturday Sept. 20

Have had a rough time since the end of the SAR meet but there's some value here, especially on the undercard…

Race 1:
Can’t argue with some of the stats the trainer of #8 has and I suppose #5 is theoretically the one to beat, but #6 Swing Fa the Stars can be a bit of a price play. Beaten fav in this class routing but that was a failed blinkers experiment. Dime MCL; anything can happen.
$1 P3: 6/All (8)/4, 6, 7, 8, 9 $40

Race 5:
#10 Conte: 20-1 ML on a horse who knows how to run well and has high percentage J/T? Up in class but BRIS ratings fit…should get a good stalking trip with cover and is worth a look.
$1 P3: 10/All(9)/1, 10 $18
$1 P4: 10/All(9)/1/1, 2, 3, 5 $36…home run play

Race 7:
#1 Cast a Doubt: Two for two at the distance and working well first off the claim.
#10 Domissme: Back to a more suitable trip and is dangerous if he gets out of the gate on time.

Race 9:
#11 Starry Moon: 3yo will try firm turf for the first time and is worth another chance.
#4 Page McKenney: On fire for top connections.
#9 Dancing Lounge: Class test but enjoys the course and the trip.

Race 10:
#5 Pure Sensation: Sprints are where he belongs and he should get a great set-up behind the duelers. May even be a bit of an overlay.
#6 Fast Anna: Wonder if they’ll rate him with the blinkers off. That’s an unknown running style and if tactics don’t change he could be hooked early. Was my play last time but this time around he has too many questions for a short price.
#7 Good Bye Greg: Another one who will appreciate the cutback but just have to wonder what kind of trip he’ll work out.
#1 just doesn’t seem to be able to get it done…#4 goes up six pounds off the win…

Race 11:
This is a good test for Untapable. I think Sweet Reason is better around one-turn and I’m not taken away by Stopchargingmaria. Going to cover deep because if she fails there is a payday to be had.

Race 12:
#5 Noble Moon: Prepped nicely for this in the Kings Bishop. Finally gets back to back efforts and expecting a big one at a big price.
#7 Tapiture: Underrated in this 3yo crop based on his poor runs in Ark & Ky Derbies. Bounced back with two solid wins and can see a threepeat.
Never been a fan of Chrome or Bayern (routing)…

$1 Late Pick Four
Race 9: 4, 9, 11
Race 10: 5, 6, 7
Race 11: 3, 5, 6, 7, 8
Race 12: 5, 7
$90...no $0.60ers for Parx...

Good luck!
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:06 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.