8/7: Saratoga (Day 16; $91k C/O)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Hay Listen Up 7-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Le Grand Warrior 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Caniform Late SCR
Exotics Use: #7 Open Bar 6-1 5th


2nd: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Utterly wise open. Use any prices you surmise as having a shot..

Most Likely: #2 Majestic Mist 6-1 WON ($5.70)
Best Value: #3 Bitterroot 30-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Daddyisdooley 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Quanique 20-1 11th


3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 12f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Private Client 9-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Achnaha 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Lilly's Dream 6-1 5th


4th: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$91k P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #5 River Deep 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Borso Vento 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Javelin 9-5 WON ($4.20)
Super Add: #7 Likeitlikethat 5-1 5th


5th: CLM, 3+, 9f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Swivel 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1e Dubb entry 5-2 4th/6th
Exotics Use: #4 Branded Hand 3-1 5th


P5 Grid:

1: 2-5 (A), 3/Late SCR-7 (B), 1-6 (C)
2: 2-3 (A), - (B), 4-7-8-9-11 (C)
3: 1-2 (A), - (B), 3-4-5 (C)
4: 1-5-8 (A), - (B), 6-7-9 (C)
5: 1-3 (A), 4 (B), 2-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x1x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

2: 2-3 (A), - (B), 4-7-8-9-11 (C)
3: 1-2-4 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
4: 1-5 (A), 7-8 (B), 6-9 (C)
5: 1-3 (A), 4 (B), 2-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x4x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Barely Impazible 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #1 Ultimateentitlement 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Raging Fire 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Collective Effort 3-1 3rd


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Tejana 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Malibu Stacy 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Annie Rocks 8-5 3rd


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD)

Terrific group of state bred fillies going the in-between 6.5f. Note that Never Hungover faces like company for the first time..

Best Value: #9 Never Hungover 5-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Bluegrass Jamboree 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Grassarla 8-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Shimmering Moon 7-2 WON ($12.00)


9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #9 Dream Passage 7-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Smart and Sassy Late SCR
Next Best: #11 Kat O Mine 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #12 Piquet 4-1 3rd


P6 Grid:

4: 1-5-8 (A), - (B), 6-7-9 (C)
5: 3 (A), 1 (B), 2-4-7 (C)
6: 2 (A), - (B), 1-6-10 (C)
7: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
8: 5-9 (A), 3-6-7-8 (B), 1-4 (C)
9: 9 (A), - (B), 5/Late SCR-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x3x6x1 = 108 x $2 = $216
All A's: 3x1x1x3x2x1 = 18 x $2 = $36


P5 Grid:

5: 1-3 (A), 4 (B), 2-7 (C)
6: 2 (A), - (B), 1-6-10 (C)
7: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
8: 5-6-9 (A), 3-7-8 (B), 1-4 (C)
9: 5/Late SCR-9 (A), - (B), 3-11-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x3x6x2 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

6: 2 (A), 1 (B), 6-10 (C)
7: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
8: 5-6-9 (A), 1-3-7-8 (B), 4 (C)
9: 5/Late SCR-9 (A), 11 (B), 3-7-12 (C)

Simple (A+B):2x3x7x3 = 126 x .50 = $63
All A's: 1x3x3x2 = $18 ($9 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

Late SCR in 1st of Caniform..