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  #1  
Old 07-15-2007, 10:58 PM
JJP JJP is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,220
Default DelMar fake dirt

TVG reporting tonight that the Del Mar Polytrack is apparently more like the crap thats used at Keeneland (and also Arlington). That's very useful info because I won't bother playing Del Mar at all.

I wonder how many of the brilliant Polytrack handicappers had Frost Alert at an underlaid $20 in the 6th at AP today. Not only was it shocking he won, it was how he did it. He figured to never be closer than 3rd yet he had no problem getting to the front and clearly reversing his poor previous Poly race.
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  #2  
Old 07-15-2007, 11:00 PM
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geeker2 geeker2 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: San Diego
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I'd wait for the labs results first...then blame the poly
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  #3  
Old 07-15-2007, 11:03 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JJP
TVG reporting tonight that the Del Mar Polytrack is apparently more like the crap thats used at Keeneland (and also Arlington). That's very useful info because I won't bother playing Del Mar at all.

I wonder how many of the brilliant Polytrack handicappers had Frost Alert at an underlaid $20 in the 6th at AP today. Not only was it shocking he won, it was how he did it. He figured to never be closer than 3rd yet he had no problem getting to the front and clearly reversing his poor previous Poly race.
Looking back on that horse today, I saw how he was playable. YOu could have argued 2nd off the layoff, speed and fade, but yes I agree, it was shocking...
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  #4  
Old 07-15-2007, 11:14 PM
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jwkniska jwkniska is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Mt. Prospect, IL (AP)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
Looking back on that horse today, I saw how he was playable. YOu could have argued 2nd off the layoff, speed and fade, but yes I agree, it was shocking...
I had 6 winners today... but that horse was definitely NOT one of them.
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  #5  
Old 07-15-2007, 11:46 PM
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onebadbeast onebadbeast is offline
Washington Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: illinois
Posts: 872
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Del Mar Has Always Been A Crapshoot Anyway. So I Dont Care If They Run On Beachsand, Concrete, Coal, Or Cracked Glass; Every Race Will Have The Possibility To Make A Retirement Score!
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  #6  
Old 07-16-2007, 12:55 AM
JJP JJP is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,220
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I think synthetic racing will produce favorite/longshot syndrome. Winning favorites at around 40-45% but more head scratching 40-1 shots that make no sense as well. So if you like betting in the 3-1 to 12-1 range, you better look at other tracks.

Re: Frost Alert, when the field hit the backstretch, I thought something was up. How on earth could he have been 10-1? Hail Victory had cleared by at least a length at the opening call in his last 8 races.
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  #7  
Old 07-16-2007, 12:58 AM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
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If the favorites win at a 40-to-45% clip at Del Mar I will be shocked.
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