8/6: Saratoga (Day 12)

[Kasept]

Weather finally turned overnight with rain expected to continue.. With off day Tuesday and turf course hard, grass events may stay on today..

Pretty thrilling day Sunday despite 4th place finish by Sumwonlovesyou with nearly 70 Dee Tee partners, family and friends visiting the Spa. Hope all had a great weekend..


SARATOGA

PRE-CHANGES... May have a chance to update after track conditions announced..

1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (DD)

1. #5 SCR
2. #8 Chunk of Love 7-2 WON
A. #1 Mutakaway 4-1 3rd
B. #6 Marco Groom 8-1 5th


2nd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.75f-T (P3, P4)

1. #12 Madame Brillon 5-1 12th
2. #5 Brantley 3-1 3rd
A. #6 Double Dinghy Day 6-1 WON
B. #4 Kin to the Wind 15-1 4th


3rd: Weekend Surprise, 3yo-F, 6f (P3)

1. #4 Allude 5-2 2nd
2. #2 Dicey Girl 3-1 3rd
A. #1 Upscale Storm 15-1 7th
B. #6 Featherbed 3-1 WON


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3)

1. #3 Zee Zee 5-1 WON
2. #1e Pletcher entry 5-2 3rd
A. #9 African Violet 10-1 8th
B. #5 Bluegrass Girl 20-1 5th


5th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, GS)

1. #2e DUTROW ENTRY 5-2 Non-starter
2. #4 Calculator 10-1 2nd
A. #5 Running Dog 9-2 6th
B. #6 Precise Alloy 6-1 7th


6th: MSW, 3+, 9f (P4, DD)

1. #7 Do I Havea Witness 3-1 3rd
2. #5 Mister Fusaichi 5-2 WON
A. #1 Dugan 12-1 8th
B. #9 Runaway Banjo 8-1 5th


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P3, Super)

1. #2 Bound Notebook 7-2 2nd
2. #3 Disco's Son 4-1 5th
3. #5 Chatain 2-1 WON

LONGSHOTS/SUPER ADDS: #4 I'm Only Laughing 20-1 9th; #7 Court Folly 20-1 3rd


8th: 23rd Hall of Fame (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f-T (DD)

1. #3 Distorted Reality 5-2 3rd
2. #6 Nobiz Like Shobiz 9-5 WON
3. #1 Marcavelly 2-1 2nd


9th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

1. #9 TWO TURN HALO 9-2 6th
2. #4 Western Sweep 4-1 WON
A. #6 Brown Eyed Belle 3-1 3rd
B. #5 Fighting Speedy 10-1 2nd

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #7 Earhart 12-1 5th


@$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-5-7
7: 2-3-4-5
8: 1-3-6
9: 9

3x4x3x1 x $1 = $36


Good luck!
Steve

[docicu3]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Weather finally turned overnight with rain expected to continue.. With off day Tuesday and turf course hard, grass events may stay on today..

Pretty thrilling day Sunday despite 4th place finish by Sumwonlovesyou with nearly 70 Dee Tee partners, family and friends visiting the Spa. Hope all had a great weekend..


SARATOGA

PRE-CHANGES... May have a chance to update after track conditions announced..

1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (DD)

1. #5 Mt. Langfuhr 20-1
2. #8 Chunk of Love 7-2
A. #1 Mutakaway 4-1
B. #6 Marco Groom 8-1


2nd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.75f-T (P3, P4)

1. #12 Madame Brillon 5-1
2. #5 Brantley 3-1
A. #6 Double Dinghy Day 6-1
B. #4 Kin to the Wind 15-1


3rd: Weekend Surprise, 3yo-F, 6f (P3)

1. #4 Allude 5-2
2. #2 Dicey Girl 3-1
A. #1 Upscale Storm 15-1
B. #6 Featherbed 3-1


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3)

1. #3 Zee Zee 5-1
2. #1e Pletcher entry 5-2
A. #9 African Violet 10-1
B. #5 Bluegrass Girl 20-1


5th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, GS)

1. #2e DUTROW ENTRY 5-2
2. #4 Calculator 10-1
A. #5 Running Dog 9-2
B. #6 Precise Alloy 6-1


6th: MSW, 3+, 9f (P4, DD)

1. #7 Do I Havea Witness 3-1
2. #5 Mister Fusaichi 5-2
A. #1 Dugan 12-1
B. #9 Runaway Banjo 8-1


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P3, Super)

1. #2 Bound Notebook 7-2
2. #3 Disco's Son 4-1
3. #5 Chatain 2-1

LONGSHOTS/SUPER ADDS: #4 I'm Only Laughing 20-1; #7 Court Folly 20-1


8th: 23rd Hall of Fame (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f-T (DD)

1. #3 Distorted Reality 5-2
2. #6 Nobiz Like Shobiz 9-5
3. #1 Marcavelly 2-1


9th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

1. #9 TWO TURN HALO 9-2
2. #4 Western Sweep 4-1
A. #6 Brown Eyed Belle 3-1
B. #5 Fighting Speedy 10-1

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #7 Earhart 12-1


@$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-5-7
7: 2-3-4-5
8: 1-3-6
9: 9

3x4x3x1 x $1 = $36


Good luck!
Steve

Steve

Is your thought in the first the ole 0-2-X or is there more to this play on Mr Langfuhr than meets the eye?

I was surprised you stayed away from Upscale Storm in the 3rd with Contesa having a first off the claim, lightly raced with a layoff to boot. The pattern is strong off the sheets. You know something the rest of us mortals don't.

About the capitals in the 9th is this the BEST BET of the day? I have never heard you say that or write that and I was just curious.

DD

[jms62]

To be politically correct. Contessa hasn't actually knocked the cover off the ball during the last 3 Toga meets.. Overbet and underperformed. IMHO, you have to let him beat you as he did with an old fav Storm Boot Gold in yesterdays nightcap.

[jms62]

I'm interested to see how Nobiz performs on the turf relly like distorted reality. Looks like an awful lot of pace in this race

[Scav]

Really look hard at Going Day (#11). Horse ran the route of ground in Europe and last was obviously a prep for this spot, could be decent odds.

[CapperZeke]

Originally Posted by Scav

Really look hard at Going Day (#11). Horse ran the route of ground in Europe and last was obviously a prep for this spot, could be decent odds.

Scav,

She's taking some money in the doubles, currently 3rd choice.