10/20: Belmont (Empire Day)

[Kasept]

Hope some caught on air selection of Bel Air Beauty in her annual stakes win at Keeneland yesterday in the Valley View.. Missed the Late P3 but the $18.00+ on the Frank Brothers-Bruce Lunsford miss was OK as she looked perfectly set up for a big try third off the break.

Hard to pass up the NYB Stakes card at Belmont today with weather looking to be better and big mutuels making a yearly visitation on these proceedings..


BELMONT PARK

TURF: SOFT.. Note changes..

1st: 14th Maid of the Mist-NYB, 2yo-F, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #1 Meriweather Jessica 2-1 2nd
Most Likely: #2 Expect the End 9-5 WON
Exotics Use: #4 Anita Rosia 5-1 6th

$1 Exacta (2-1) $8.00


2nd: MSW-NYB, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3)

Best Value: #10 Alexandros 8-1 4th
Most Likely: #2 Post Exchange 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Dixieland Star 5-1 3rd
Other: #11 Aforementioned 12-1 9th


3rd: 14th Sleepy Hollow-NYB, 2yo, 1m (P3)

Best Value: #1 Be Bullish 10-1 4th
Most Likely: #8 BIG TRUCK 1-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Giant Moon 3-1 WON
Other: #7 Dazzling Derek 6-1 6th


4th: 29th Iroquois-NYB, F&M-3+, 7f (P3)

Best Value: #6 Karakorum Starlet 12-1 WON
Most Likely: #5 Light Tactic 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Ice Cool Kitty 7-2 3rd
Other: #7 Precise Lady 12-1 8th


5th: The Office Miss-NYB, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, .10 Super)

Best Value: #6 My Kitty 15-1 4th
Most Likely: #10 Karakorum Elektra 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Jesse's Justice 3-1 9th
Super Add: #12 Cagey Girl 10-1 12th

NOTE: Soft going moves #1 Tishmeister into the realm of possibilities.. Add to Super at the least.. 5th


P4 Play:

Main: $3

2: 2
3: 8
4: 5-6-8
5: 1-6-9-10

1x1x3x4 = 12 x $3 = $36


Backup: $1

2: 3-6-8-10-11
3: 8
4: 5-6
5: 1-6-10

5x1x2x3 = $30


6th: 27th Ticonderoga-NYB, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD, GS, P3, .10 Super)

Best Value: #7 Latitude Forty 10-1 3rd
Most Likely: #6 Factual Contender 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 J'Ray 7-2 4th
Super: #3 Rewrite 9-2 WON

$1 Exacta (3-6) $12.80
$1 Trifecta (3-6-8) $86.50
$1 Superfecta (3-6-8-7) $294.50


7th: 30th Hudson-NYB, 3+, 6f (P4)

Best Value: #3 FEROCIOUS FIRES 8-1 WON-on DQ
Most Likely: #1 Stormin Normandy 2-1 2nd-DQ'd from 1st
Exotics Use: #8 Posted 3-1 8th
Other: #5 Gold and Roses 7-2 4th

$1 Exacta (3-1) $16.30


8th: 29th Mohawk-NYB, 3+, 9f-IT (P3)

Best Value: #7 Gimme Credit 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #1 SCR
Exotics Use: #6 Bestowed 12-1 7th
Other: #3 Juror 12-1 9th


9th: 32nd Empire Classic-NYB, 3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #2 Who What Win 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #6 Naughty New Yorker 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Indian Hawke 5-2 6th
Other: #4 French Transition 8-1 9th


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (.10 Super)

Best Value: #6 Slow Signal 30-1 8th
Most Likely: #8 Tobruk 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Raynick's Fan 7-2 WON
Super: #1 Really Rollicking 15-1 (added due to turf condition..) 11th

$1 Exacta (4-8) $16.80


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-3
8: 1-SCR-3-6-7
9: 2-6
10: 1-4-6-8

2x3x2x4 = $48


<$100 P6 Play:

5: 6-9-10
6: 6-7
7: 3
8: 1-SCR-7
9: 2-6
10: 1-4-6-8

3x2x1x1x2x4 = 48 x $2 = $96


Good luck!
Steve

[golfer]

No Psymphony of Psalms in the 6th? She had a no-chance trip in her last when beaten by many in here (which should ensure a square price).

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by golfer

No Psymphony of Psalms in the 6th? She had a no-chance trip in her last when beaten by many in here in her last (which should ensure a square price).

Literally next on the list. Agree, a tough exclude.. Happy the 6th misses the P4's..

[Holland Hacker]

Originally Posted by Kasept

4th: 29th Iroquois-NYB, F&M-3+, 7f (P3)

Best Value: #6 Karakorum Starlet 12-1
Most Likely: #5 Light Tactic 5-2
Exotics Use: #7 Ice Cool Kitty 7-2
Other: #8 Precise Lady 12-1

@$50 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-6-8-10-11
3: 8
4: 5-6-7
5: 6-9-10

6x1x3x3 = $54

While comparing my selections with yours I noticed that you transposed the numbers for Ice Cool Kitty and Precise Lady.

According to my Racing Form Ice Cool Kitty is # 8 and Precise Lady is # 7.

Just wanted to point that out as I don't know who you wanted to include in the Pick 4.

Hopefully you have a Great day as our selections are very close.

Do you really think Karakorum Starlet has a shot with these? That would be awesome as I would get my picture taken in the Winners Circle as I own a small %age.

GL to all playing today!

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

coa parlay all day 10 bucks w/p/s...

[pmacdaddy]

Lovin Alexandros in second...

[dellinger63]

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

coa parlay all day 10 bucks w/p/s...

I'll take Ramon Dominguez against him.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Holland Hacker

While comparing my selections with yours I noticed that you transposed the numbers for Ice Cool Kitty and Precise Lady.

According to my Racing Form Ice Cool Kitty is # 8 and Precise Lady is # 7.

Just wanted to point that out as I don't know who you wanted to include in the Pick 4.

Hopefully you have a Great day as our selections are very close.

Do you really think Karakorum Starlet has a shot with these? That would be awesome as I would get my picture taken in the Winners Circle as I own a small %age.

GL to all playing today!

HH,

Good catch.. Thx!

Thought K-Starlet ran very credibly last pair and offers value here. Don't think she's as good a win candidate as Tactic or Kitty... But good luck there today!

[Holland Hacker]

Originally Posted by Kasept

HH,

Good catch.. Thx!

Thought K-Starlet ran very credibly last pair and offers value here. Don't think she's as good a win candidate as Tactic or Kitty... But good luck there today!

Steve

Unfortunately I agreed with you and didn't think she was "up to the task" so I didn't play her to win. I agree she has run well and loves Belmont. I'm excited that she actually showed some gameness and won today fighting back when challeneged in the stretch. Thanks to you (Including her on top) I included her in a pick three with Giant Moon & Cute Cognac which made the day. That Pick three paid as well as (actually better than) most pick 4s that I hit.

Looking forward to listening to the show this week and I'll try and stop by to see you on Friday some time.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Holland Hacker

Do you really think Karakorum Starlet has a shot with these? That would be awesome as I would get my picture taken in the Winners Circle as I own a small %age. GL to all playing today!

You know.. then again maybe she IS as good a win candidate as Kitty and Tactic!

Congrats to Hacker who clearly has a piece of Karakorum Startlet and also to Jeff Odinitz who works hard and gets a lot out of stock.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Originally Posted by Kasept

You know.. then again maybe she IS as good a win candidate as Kitty and Tactic!

Congrats to Hacker who clearly has a piece of Karakorum Startlet and also to Jeff Odinitz who works hard and gets a lot out of stock.

nice call ..cagey girl ,cute con/ visual candy ext box?

[pmacdaddy]

Nice call With Karakorum Starlet on Top Steve.

Congrats Hacker!

[pointman]

Steve, nice call on Karakorum Starlet.

[pointman]

Belmont 5th, 10 cent supers:

1,2,8,9/1,2,6,9/1,2,3,8,9,10,12/1,2,3,8,9,10,12

1,2/1,2/3,5,8,9,10,12/3,5,8,9,10,12

Good luck to all!

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by Kasept

You know.. then again maybe she IS as good a win candidate as Kitty and Tactic!

Congrats to Hacker who clearly has a piece of Karakorum Startlet and also to Jeff Odinitz who works hard and gets a lot out of stock.

Congrats to HH.

Sorry HHH.

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

Congrats to HHH.

That's HH, not me....didn't even come close!

[pointman]

Congrats, Hacker. Hope you had a big win ticket!

[gales0678]

Steve - Post Exchange has been very good in the am's since he was gelded

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by gales0678

Steve - Post Exchange has been very good in the am's since he was gelded

He's going to be tough in there.

[pmacdaddy]

Originally Posted by gales0678

Steve - Post Exchange has been very good in the am's since he was gelded

Form only shows one workout since layoff. Something not on there? Not listed as Gelding either.