1/13: Santa Anita ($160k C/O)

[Kasept]

Saturday was a day that tested resolve as a horseplayer. Never one interested in accepting short prices in selections, bombs flew at the Fair Grounds and Santa Anita all day and I caught nearly none of them. The stakes string at New Orleans, which had been heavily disected all week on 'At the Races', ended up a stunning series of monster prices until two logicals reset some order in the Tiffany Lass and LeComte.

At Santa Anita, the three year old stake almost could not help itself from being formful, but the San Pasqual and San Fernando produced outlandish winners that produced a huge carryover of $160,000 into Sunday. While El Gato Malo proved out handsomely in the in the San Rafael, setting a track record in the process, Zappa, the longest shot on the Pasqual board at 13-1, and Air Commander, 52-1 and the 2nd longest tab in the Fernando, set off mutuel explosions.

At NOLA, French Beret (11-1-Bradley), Silver Lord (14-1-Louisiana) and Danceroftherealm (9-1-Leggio) triggered a $6,227 Pick 3; helped the all-stakes P4 come back at $10.4k; gave one winner a $25k P5 hit and left the P6 as a carryover. Steve Asmussen swept the soph features as Jim Graham gave Jolie the Cat ($10.40) a heady front-end trip in the Tiff, and Shaun Bridgmohan booted Z Fortune ($12.00) home in the LeComte.

Let's try to offset some of yesterday's drubbing with the 2nd big stakes card at Arcadia..


SANTA ANITA


3rd: 57th Sant Ynez (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Champagne Eyes 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #3 INDIAN BLESSING 2-5 WON
Next Best: #2 Izarra 5-1 5th


4th: ALW/S, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Havens Lake 10-1 2nd
Most Likely: #7 Love Happens 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Quid Non 7-2 4th
Exotics Add: #6 Testify to Love 4-1 WON

$1 Exacta (6-5) $50.20
$1 Trifecta (6-5-7) $232.50
$1 Superfecta (6-5-7-8) $509.90


5th: 41st Santa Ysabel (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Initiation 5-1 5th
Most Likely: #3 Turn Away 8-5 6th
Next Best: #1 Grace Anatomy 7-2 2nd
Exotics Add: #2 Kazamira 5-2 3rd


6th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Quityerbellyaching 8-1 10th
Most Likely: #2 Recoil 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Andrew's Courage 15-1 7th
Exotics Add: #5 Charm N Chuck 6-1 WON

$1 Exacta (5-2) $28.90


7th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Heathersdaddysbaby 15-1 WON
Most Likely: #4 Udriga 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Pindaric 9-2 5th
Exotics Add: #6 Squeeze Me Tight 5-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-4) $71.40
$1 Trifecta (2-4-6) $311.50


8th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Strip Mine 8-1 9th
Most Likely: #1 Tiz Now Tiz Then 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Alonzo 6-1 8th
Exotics Add: #2 Dreamed Day 9-2 5th


9th: 44th El Encino (Gr. II), 4yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Zenyatta 7-2 WON
Most Likely: #6 Tough Tiz's Sis 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Indescribable 6-1


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Raebar 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #6 Chelcee's Hope 7-2 10th
Next Best: #9 Whimsical Miss 6-1 9th
Exotics Add: #10 Zoemeg 10-1 5th


11th: MDN CLM, 4+, 7f (Super)

Best Value: #7 Knoblock 6-1 5th
Most Likely: #10 Army Officer 5-1 WON
Next Best: #9 Street Number 4-1 12th
Exotics Add: #13 Chewy Carmello 12-1 11th


<$150 P6 Play:

6: 2-6
7: 2-3-4
8: 1-2-3-9
9: 2
10: 6-7
11: 7-10

2x3x4x1x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 1-2-3-4-8-9
9: 2-6
10: 7
11: 7-9-10-13

6x2x1x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[pmacdaddy]

Thanks Steve. Absolutely zero feel for the Aqueduct card today, so think I will move west... Appreciate the input.

[SCUDSBROTHER]

I like LOOKS GREAT in the last race.Might foul though. So,would also use Army Officer,Ringmaster,and Golada King.Don't like Army Officer,but I guess I would have to include.Street just can't finish.Knoblock lugs in too much at the exact wrong time.

[lemoncrush]

Love the 7 horse in race 1.
Gilchrist went back and reclaimed him for $18 more than he lost him for previously. Plus, the Mike Smith "off" angle never fails.
Looks like he can sit off the speed and power home.

[turf fan]

In the 8th at SA, #12 On The Virg trained by Pletcher will go to the front and not look back. Word is Pletcher believes this horse is a runner. At 8-1, I'll play!!

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Originally Posted by turf fan

In the 8th at SA, #12 On The Virg trained by Pletcher will go to the front and not look back. Word is Pletcher believes this horse is a runner. At 8-1, I'll play!!

NICE...When is Pletcher going back to Florida?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by turf fan

In the 8th at SA, #12 On The Virg trained by Pletcher will go to the front and not look back. Word is Pletcher believes this horse is a runner. At 8-1, I'll play!!

T/F,

Great piece of info... I'll speak for the group and say that everyone who got to it and employed it says 'Thx!'...

[pmacdaddy]

Originally Posted by turf fan

In the 8th at SA, #12 On The Virg trained by Pletcher will go to the front and not look back. Word is Pletcher believes this horse is a runner. At 8-1, I'll play!!

Thanks. Very nice call.

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by lemoncrush

Love the 7 horse in race 1.
Gilchrist went back and reclaimed him for $18 more than he lost him for previously. Plus, the Mike Smith "off" angle never fails.
Looks like he can sit off the speed and power home.

Talamo didn't give him the best ride. He's a bet back next time.

Taking a shot with the 6 and 9 in race 2.

[letswastemoney]

No one likes Alonzo in the 8th? I mean I know I'm just going on family history...but if you just look at the sprint debut as a prep race.. I think he'll be dangerous at this distance.

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

I like LOOKS GREAT in the last race.Might foul though. So,would also use Army Officer,Ringmaster,and Golada King.Don't like Army Officer,but I guess I would have to include.Street just can't finish.Knoblock lugs in too much at the exact wrong time.

Got the exacta a couple times,but didn't play this tri box.Don't know why,but probably because was scared of Knob getting 2nd or 3rd.

[Kasept]

Six horses between 9-2 & 6-1 in this curious 8th.. Not a single result imaginable would shock me here.

[declansharbor]

Great pickin Steve.

Unbelievable, I can't hit anything this weekend. I go 6 deep in a 12 horse field and not one of em even hits the board. Laughable.

[basement bob]

nice comeback from sat. i managed to cash in on a couple of nice tricks. keep it going