1/17: Santa Anita (Carryover)

[Kasept]

Would have been especially difficult to hit P6/P4 at Big A Thursday considering that I missed draw-in of 9th race winner Mount Weather, but by that time the damage had been done anyway.. Two horse 5th race went the 'other' way as I Promise restored her juvy luster over Jet Setting, and Gullo got untracked with Avagadro topping the bad group of Empire maiden taggers in the 6th. The other three races in the sextet went well though as a trio of triples ($95; $35; $46) and availability of pair of P3's ($53; $55) kept the day's missteps to an acceptible minimum.

Action turns westward Thursday with fun P6 carry skien at Santa Anita..


SANTA ANITA


.10 Supers in all.. Rolling DD's through 7th..


3rd: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3)

Best Value: #10 Swishing Tiger 5-1: Deceptively good in troubled debut.. 7th
Most Likely: #7 SCR
Next Best: #9 Catch Candy 4-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #5 Quiet at the Top 15-1 4th


4th: CLM, 4yo-F, 1m (P3)

Best Value: #1 Tonja's World 8-1: Taking significant class drop.. 3rd
Most Likely: #8 Ready Maid 7-2: Favorite hails from low percentage connections.. 2nd
Next Best: #2 Gold Datnoid 9-2: Sherman on uncharacteristic skid.. 4th
Exotics Add: #6 Startin Fresh 12-1: Barnmate of fave could snap back at price.. 8th


5th: MSW, 4+, 6f (P4, P3)

Best Value: #2 Any Kind of Storm 8-1: Paco red has had time; Adds Rosario.. WON ($23.40)
Most Likely: #4 Union Scale 3-1: Sadler firster firing a.m. cannon.. 8th
Next Best: #9 Bullsbay 6-1: Erratic and DQ'd in bow; Earned fig; Respect.. 2nd
Exotics Add: #5 Kalookan Boss 4-1: Broke heart at 59-1 last; Needs more ground.. 5th


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 5.5f (P3)

Best Value: #7 Street Boss 5-1: Dangerous with clean break.. WON ($10.80)
Most Likely: #9 Furioso Star 5-2: Finally seems sound; Firing bullets.. 2nd
Next Best: #5 Global Heat 8-1: Close to Silver Stetson/Johnny Eves last year.. 7th
Exotics Add: #2 SCR


7th: OC/N1X, OC/N1X, 3yo, 6.5f-DHT

Inclined to embrace both Drysdale 'turf firsters' in always tricky Downhill Turf test with 5-2 favorite (#4) Sky Cape looking no better than several here..

Best Value: #7 Belafonte 6-1: Son of young sire may take to lawn.. 2nd
Most Likely: #2 Liberian Freighter 8-1: Moves inside; Chased monster Bob Blackjack.. 3rd
Next Best: #8 Drewthegentleman 9-2 5th
Exotics Add: #4 Sky Cape 5-2 WON


8th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 7f

Best Value: #12 Rockinanrollin 6-1 5th
Most Likely: #7 In Daddy's Honor 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #13 Heinous 10-1 9th
Exotics Add: #1 Mud Sweat 'n Tears 15-1 6th



<$200 P6 Play:

3: (7/SCR) 10
4: 1-2-6-8
5: 4
6: 7-9
7: 2-7
8: 1-7-12

1x4x1x2x2x3 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$50 P4 Play:

5: 4
6: 5-7-9
7: 2-4-7-8
8: 1-7-12-13

1x3x4x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Winds may be an issue today.I can just imagine the hill contest with gusts of wind(and the dreaded speed-extending cheater's rail up.)

[Scav]

Being inside in the hill race as Steve mentions for Liberian Fighter isn't necessarily a good thing, the outside(especially outside speed) is very good going down the hill. An old timer when I was in college told me this at the OTB down in Carbondale and of course I listened, but from what I have seen in the last 7 years, it holds true, that the outside, especially outside speed, holds well.

As far as that race is concerned, while I think Belafonte is the most likely winner, I think you should look closely at Mullin's horse, #5 Ten Meropa. I like that Bejarano is taking this mount and this horses lone turf work is pretty good. Should get a good closing trip and if Bejarano waits for all those horses to swing 6w like some do going down the hill, he might be able to shoot the rail with this one. Playable, especially if the horse takes some action early in the betting.

[Scav]

1: 2
2: 1,4

[Heels1989]

Small P6 ticket just to have a little action

R3 10
R4 1
R5 4
R6 9
R7 1/2/4/6/7/8/9
R8 6/7

$28

maybe lightning will strike

[MinnSkinny]

Thank you Steve for a nice start to the P-4, much appreciated as always.