Who will be the "wise guy" horse 5/3???

[wac]

The more i keep hearing about him and with the jockey talking about Barbaro i get the feeling its gonna be Adriano. It just seems here lately that this horse is getting a lot of "buzz" and im thinking this is gonna lower his odds pretty good for KD.I have no real idea who im actually gonna bet in the big race but for some odd reason im actualy thinking about adriano, am i getting sucked into the hype machine??

[pick4]

Here's a quote by Prado's agent and I do not detect much confidence by statement.

Bob Frieze, Prado's agent, said it was "a tough decision."

"We went back and forth, back and forth," Frieze said from Keeneland, where Prado is currently riding. "We won on Adriano in the Lane's End before we rode the other two. We felt obligated toward Graham. We had told Graham to let Edgar work the horse first, then we'd make a decision."

http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/24161402/

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Why would he not choose Adriano?

Monba ran once over the track - got a great stalking trip - and was life and death to beat a nothing field.

Tale of Ekati has run three straight moderate figures - and he doesn't project to improve at all stretching out. On top of that, I guess Tagg complained about his Wood ride.

Instead of riding a known commodity who had no realistic shot of winning - wouldn't you prefer an unknown quantity who's ceiling might or might not be a whole lot higher?

A. P. Indy gets better dirt horses than turf horses - Mr. Prospector gets better dirt horses than turf horses - the 2nd dam is a half to Bet Twice who beat out Alysheba in the old Chrysler Triple Crown Series point standings. Even though he's always been handled like a turf horse - and even though he's been effective on turf and synthetic - no one can rationally say that one roughly run race where he was marooned out in the 12 hole at GP is enough to prove he stinks on dirt.

Adriano might have the worst chance percentage wise at a top 8 finish of the three - but he has the best chance percentage wise of winning the race of those three horses.

[hockey2315]

So do you think he has any shot, Drugs?

[The Indomitable DrugS]

I think Monba and Tale of the Ekati have a much better shot at splitting the field than Adriano.

Adriano is one of the toughest reads, probably even the single toughest read for me in the race - if he runs 16th I wouldn't be shocked..and if he's in the exacta I wouldn't be totally shocked.

Can he win? I only say it's not impossible because I'm not entirely convinced I know where his ceiling is..and this is unquestionably a low rated Derby field.

[hockey2315]

Ya I hear you. . . Right now I have him as an "X" but he's probably the one I fear the most out of the ones I plan on tossing.

[deltagulf]

i say it will be recaoturetheglory nobody talking about him.

like to see the connections get this one after risen star
came up short.

[2Hot4TV]

Gayego !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Getting better all the time.

[sumitas]

Place your bets and when nobody is looking throw some money on some long shots.