THIS is an INCREDIBLE run

[the_fat_man]

Was doing the charts for the day's races and I was just BLOWN AWAY by the late run of Them There Eyes (AQU R7).

Damn, haven't seen a move like that since Stormy West at GP.

[mes5107]

It looks like Them There Eyes was mistakenly put 6 lengths behind Nedjma at the stretch call. Just a Little Jet and Golden Horseshoe have very similar patterns to Them There Eyes, and this would certainly explain it.

[pick4]

The charts have her six lengths back after three quarters. That winning move is rare at the Big A closing into a 29 3/4 final two and a half furlongs and making out that ground. She looks like a filly who could be a player in the state bred turf handicap races.

[mes5107]

Right they have her back nearly 6 lengths after 3/4, but a little over 8 1/2 after the mile, meaning she closed that much in 1/16 of a mile. The final 1/16 was run in 5.82 seconds. If you use the assumption that 1 length is approx. 1/5 of a second, she ran 1.7 seconds faster than the leading horse for the final 1/16, in 4.12 seconds. This translates to a 8.24 clip for 1/8.

Plus if you watch the replay she is not 8 1/2 lengths behind at the stretch call. Don't get me wrong, she closed fast and ran a very nice race, but she is not the fastest horse ever.

[pick4]

I'll record the races tomorrow morning and pay close attention to the race. IMO, the most important part of determining the quality of a turf horse is the last two, or two and a half, or three furlongs of a horses race depending on distance, shape of the race, and pace of the race.

[mes5107]

I agree with you there. I never handicap a turf race without looking at how a horse runs at the end, but in this case the information given through the charts is very wrong. When you watch the replays tomorrow, you will see that Them There Eyes is not 6 lengths behind Nedjma (the 5th place runner) at the stretch call.