Early Forecast for Oaks/Derby days

[swedejxn]

50-50 chance of rain and t-storms starting early morning Friday and ending by noon Saturday. Should be less than an inch total rainfall for the period.

That is from the NWService regular and agricultural forecasts...

Worst case scenario for Sat... good/good

[miraja2]

I trust 4-day-out weather forecasts about as often as I miss KRIM.

[cowgirlintexas]

What if it does come up "muddy"? Do any of these horses like or ran in the mud? I can't seem to recall a race leading up to the derby being muddy. Seems like all the excuses have been because of the sythentics not mud. Be a total tail-spin if it does happen to be sloppy on top of all the other "questions".

[Danzig]

i think the gotham was on a sloppy track.

[cowgirlintexas]

Originally Posted by Danzig

i think the gotham was on a sloppy track.

Oh yes! Visionaire in the slop/fog. Might be worth a ponder if it happens to downpour Saturday.

[miraja2]

The BCJ was of course run in the slop. Off the top of my head, I know Pyro and Tale of Ekati are Derby contenders that ran in that race. There are probably one or two others as well that I can't think of right now.
One of the Zs perhaps?

[Danzig]

just keep in mind what happened the last time there was a rainy day at churchill. i think the top three early were also the top three late, with smarty passing lion heart.