5/25: Belmont (5th-10th; C/O)

[Kasept]

More or less took Saturday off, but was struck watching the day's races at the continual value in the P4 pools. At Arlington in the late P4, ATR house capper Gus Alonso gave you the three toughest-to-find winners, and the wager brought back $8,666 for $1. The parlay was $2,900. Amazing..

P6 carryovers at Belmont ($56k) and Hollywood ($117k) Sunday.. Like the Belmont series and feel like trying to use 2 singles is the right approach...


BELMONT PARK


5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) SCR #1a goes WON
Best Value: #9 Philosophizer 15-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Lovely Wildcat 6-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #5 SCR


6th: NYB-ALW/N1x, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Frankel returnee looks like a must-single as a quagmire lies beyond her..

Most Likely: #4 HEATHER'S ANGEL 2-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Lost Without You 12-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Nordberg 4-1 11th
Exotics Add: #9 Twistaway 8-1 10th


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #5 Receipt 3-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Grand Advice 7-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Great Thought 5-1 5th
Exotics Add: #9 Lanai 8-1 8th

$1 Pick 3 (1/10/5) Paid $233.50


8th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 CAN'T REFUSE 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Mondo Diverso 12-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Russian Sage 8-1 WON
Exotics Add: #9 Posted 12-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-5) Paid $51.50
$1 Trifecta (7-5-9) Paid $519.50
$1 Pick 3 (10/5/7) Paid $346.50


9th: 58th Vagrancy (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD)

Scratch #1 Bedside Story, but that's not much help in very tricky version of NY standard for sprinting distaffers. Dream Rush working well for return, but new in the game owner has been 'unlucky', and former West Point miss needs to be at her best today. Jerkens has been cleverly working Any Limit up to this, while Dutrow's Looky Yonder turns around quick but is a serious threat on best. Baroness Thatcher was dead game just missing to Intangaroo Derby Day, and even Sangrita, an also ran in previous stakes tries, is hardly impossible here..

Best Value: #4 Any Limit 10-1 4th
Most Likely: #3 Dream Rush 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Baroness Thatcher 3-1 3rd


10th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Eulogize 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Bella Attrice WON
Next Best: #5 Fiddler's Princess 6-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #10 Dance Lesson 20-1 4th

$2 Exacta (7-3) Paid $17.00
$1 Trifecta Box Paid $27.50
$1 Superfecta (7-3-5-10) Paid $386.50


<$250 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-6-9
6: 4
7: 4-5-7
8: 5
9: 2-3-4-5-6
10: 3-7

4x1x3x1x5x2 = 120 x $2 = $240


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp

[fpsoxfan]

If anyone was watching the Nyra feed this morning, you would have noticed that Andy gave out the 1st race triple cold for 300 and the exacta for 100.
Me, being a moron keyed the 1 and the 6 on top of the 1-2-6.
It came in 6-2-1. Nice work Andy!

[kenny p]

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan

If anyone was watching the Nyra feed this morning, you would have noticed that Andy gave out the 1st race triple cold for 300 and the exacta for 100.
Me, being a moron keyed the 1 and the 6 on top of the 1-2-6.
It came in 6-2-1. Nice work Andy!

Where do you watch the nyra feed? Thanks KP

[fpsoxfan]

Originally Posted by kenny p

Where do you watch the nyra feed? Thanks KP

Right on the capital otb channel. I'm not sure what they call it now. It's the Sunday handicapper show that Andy's been on for the past few weeks.

[kenny p]

Thanks ..I am on Long I. We dont get that. Can it be watched online?

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by kenny p

Where do you watch the nyra feed? Thanks KP

Do you bet through an ADW? If so, that is where you can see the track feed.

I watched a bit of it on Youbet today.

[kenny p]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

Do you bet through an ADW? If so, that is where you can see the track feed.

I watched a bit of it on Youbet today.

I bet through nyra rewards. I'll try to see if I can watch it on Youbet. Thanks KP

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan

If anyone was watching the Nyra feed this morning, you would have noticed that Andy gave out the 1st race triple cold for 300 and the exacta for 100.
Me, being a moron keyed the 1 and the 6 on top of the 1-2-6.
It came in 6-2-1. Nice work Andy!

It came in 6-1a-2. I actually did well.

Thanks.

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

We just disagree about wides. While she did lose some ground last time she was compromised by a severely overaggressive ride last time.

She got a brilliant ride today.

Did you catch the performances by Kent in the 7th and 8th? They were Hall of Fame of Ineptitude rides. He shouldn't be riding. He is totally screwed up over Big Brown.

I don't think the ride was overaggressive. When Hill bid, he was in hand, and he actually backed up almost 2 lengths between the 1st and 2nd call while the pacesetter drew off. However, the horse, no doubt, got the worst of it. What kept me from betting was her terrible action after she got the lead. If I could've counted on Hill getting the rail by the turn and drafting, I'd have bet out. And I'd certainly have bet my house that she'd run faster than the colts in the 8th, and run her last 1/8th a few hundreths faster than the previous one. In other words, she ran just a little bit better than last time.

I didn't think much of Equally. As it was, I had my own issues in the 7th with Gomez, essentially emulating Kent and never getting clear; and with Maragh in the 8th --- if he gets clear earlier he probably wins.

[blackthroatedwind]

Gomez didn't distinguish himself in the 7th either.....you're right. I need to watch the 8th a few more times.

We will have to agree to disagree about Lost Without You's last ride. Bottom line is that while he was obviously a good play at the price he got as good a ride as a horse can get.

[Kasept]

Late 4.. $72

7: 4-5-7-8
8: 5-6-7
9: 2-4-6
10: 3-7

[Kasept]

KA-BOOM!! Baby...