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#1
08-18-2008, 07:27 AM
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8/18 Saratoga (Week 4 Finale)
Wrapped up a frustrating weekend Sunday by capping well and wagering poorly a second day in a row. Left a lot of money on the table, particularly a late P4 worth $1,900 ($1) where I think I had the right idea going after the 10th race price. But I blew it.
Ridge Royale ($13.40) delivered as a on top "Best Value-Best Bet" in the 7th to get things started, and though I was unable to edit plays post-SCR/CHG's, I'm hopeful most recognized that AE-11 Stepaside ($6.30) had drawn into the 8th and was a must use. I used Stepaside on my own ticket, (whom you may recall we all hit with in his first Spa start), but then left "Next Best" Summer Patriot ($3.10) off the third leg of the ticket as a budget move... Uggh! Then Sciacca scored in the nightcap with Frisky Rosie ($18.80) and the Quad returns nearly $2,000 for a buck. Had other OK results including the other "Best Value-Best Bet" Kiss the Cruiser in the opener ($13.40), but overall I felt like it was a "Lost Weekend". Del Mar Carryover brightened the evening with 3 $221.80 consos ($665.40) on the $192.00 I suggested. Hope you did well. Let's wrap up the 2nd trident of the meet with a bang! SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES 1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Windication 3-1 6th Best Value: #5 Last Tram 5-1 WON Next Best: #7 Know the Game 5-2 5th 2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Aoja 2-1 3rd Best Value: #1 Well Meant 15-1 5th Next Best: #3 Head Hoof Heart 8-1 2nd 3rd: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Lorccan 3-1 WON Best Value: #5 Raffit 9-2 4th Next Best: #2 Lee Stewart 4-1 2nd $1 Exacta (3-2) Paid $11.70 4th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 More Than a Reason 4-1 5th Next Best: #5 Pocatello 3-1 3rd Best Value: #3 M V P Grand 15-1 6th 5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #9 Ready or Not 8-1 5th Most Likely: #10 Big Wig 4-1 WON Next Best: #4 The Cuban Hawk 7-2 3rd Super Add: #7 Titan of Industry 5-2 2nd $1 Exacta (10-7) Paid $13.80 $1 Trifecta (10-7-4) Paid $41.00 <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-3-7 3: 2-3-5 4: 5-6 5: 4-7-9-10 3x3x2x4 = $72 6th: The Mechanicville, NYB-3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Silver Timber 5-1 3rd Best Value: #4 Can't Refuse 30-1 7th Next Best: #7 Redefined 2-1 5th Super Add: #8 Ahvee's Destiny 8-1 WON 7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Sweet Ransom 4-1 3rd Best Value: #6 Stately 8-1 8th Next Best: #1 (POE) Country Star 2-1 WON 8th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #9 Bagavond 12-1 4th Most Likely: #10 Mr Sam I Am 5-2 3rd Next Best: #4 Inside Info 15-1 7th Super Add: #5 River of Dreams 20-1 8th 9th: 5th Union Avenue, NYB F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 By the Light 6-5 WON Best Value: #3 SCR Next Best: #8 SCR (SCR add #4 Street Sass 12-1 5th) Super Add: #1 Summer Palace 5-1 7th 10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (Super) Most Likely: #7 UNITY 5-2 Best Value: #5 SCR (SCR add #11 Tee With the Tiger 12-1 6th) Next Best: #8 Multidude 7-2 10th Super Add: #6 Sir Dunstan 12-1 5th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-4-6 8: 1-4-5-6-9-10 9: 1-(3/SCR)-4-7 10: 7 3x6x3x1 = $54 $1 Pick 4 (1-6-7-7) $34.75 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-19-2008 at 03:19 AM. 
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#2
08-18-2008, 11:15 AM
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I'm at lunch at 1 today so I think I'll paly the 1st, Last Tram looks like a standout. Maker seems to have improved this horse since Bowman trained him. Takes the drop...If he's half alive he should be the one. Know The Game is very unreliable and is always bet, time to try someone new and if he beats you at 2-1 great...
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#4
08-18-2008, 12:22 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
08-18-2008, 12:49 PM
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I like a few horses Steve has listed already in his picks, but also have Canadian Ballet in the 6th.
Will also box the heavy fave By the Light with Light Tactic in the 9th In the 7th, I'll tri key heavy fave Country Star over Sweet Ransom and Stately
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