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  #1  
Old 09-01-2008, 08:43 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 9/1: Saratoga (Finale); PA Derby (PHA)

The 42 days of Saratoga come to a close this afternoon: always a melancholy arrival. As much fun as these six weeks can be, they are also intense, grueling and frenetic. It has been a particularly memorable meet for me personally, and I hope that between the 'At the Races' broadcasts from here and attempts to help you make money with the daily selections, that I've been able to provide a portion of the Saratoga Summer experience. The first 21 days of the meet were the most lucrative for my plays, with these last 14 days a bit of a struggle. One final shot to finish the meet on a positive. Hope you've done well and have enjoyed these wondrous 36 race days...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Counterspy 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 All the Way Home 15-1 8th
Next Best: #7 D'Wildcard 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Repenthouse 5-1 6th


2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Gem for Hook 2-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Vintage Tough 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 By the Sky 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Pals First Lady 5-1 5th

$1 Exacta (8-2) Paid $12.30
$1 Trifecta (8-2-5) Paid $25.50



3rd: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Tend 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Premium Gold 10-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Discreet Treasure 9-5 4th


4th: The Loudonville, NYB-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Very tricky NYB stake.. Other than Stunt Man, looks like all can win..

Most Likely: #5 Tommasi 4-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Rises the Phoenix 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Dr. D.F.C. 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Johnie Bye Night 5-1 5th

$1 Exacta (5-7) Paid $26.75
$1 Pick 3 (8-5-5) Paid $234.50



5th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 City Broad 4-1 4th
Best Value: #11 Welcome to Wista 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1e Rice entry 8-1 10th
Super Add: #9 Miss Dolan's Rose 12-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 5-8
3: 2-4-6
4: 1-5-6-7
5: 1-3-11

2x3x4x3 = $72


6th: S/ALW. 3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Cobblestone Way 7-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Ardnavagh 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Higher Incentive 9-2 4th
Super Add: #9 Eightyfive S 10-1 7th


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Lyke a Hurricane 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Pano's Love 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Don't Fooli Houli 6-1 3rd


8th: 13th Glens Falls (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Dynaforce 6-5 5th
Best Value: #6 Palmilla 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Hostess 3-1 WON

$1 Exacta (4-6) Paid $22.10


9th: The Quick Call, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Hellvelyn 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #11 Chasin Tiger 30-1 12th
Next Best: #12 Natural Seven 15-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Vicarino 30-1 11th


10th: 104th Hopeful (Gr. I), 2yo, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Break Water Edison 4-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Cribnote 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Vineyard Haven 12-1 WON

$1 Exacta (5-8) Paid $74.75


11th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Skywire 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Masterofthehouse 30-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Arch Hero 12-1 10th
Super Add: #5 Buddha Power 12-1 9th


<$100 P4 Play:

8: 3-4-6
9: 5-9-11-12
10: 1-8
11: 2-5-6-10

3x4x2x4 = $96


Big 'Toga ATR Finale tonight with Carolyn Conley, Bobby Frankel, Bill Mott, and much more scheduled to appear!

Good Luck... Thanks for making Saratoga 2008 special!
Steve



PHILADELPHIA PARK

Great lineup of familiar and lesser known faces in this $1,000,000 free for all!

10th: 29th Pennsylvania Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f

Most Likely: #4 Tiz Now Tiz Then 4-1 7th
Best Value: #10 SCR
Next Best: #6 Smooth Air 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Stones River 8-1 4th
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-02-2008 at 02:00 AM.
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  #2  
Old 09-01-2008, 10:29 AM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 965
Default hi steve just wondering

i understand that you do your shows from saratoga during there meet
but where do you go from there when it is over?do you still do a show from a track?or in studio?thanks
and please any imfo on kate masterson for me would be thankfull
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  #3  
Old 09-01-2008, 11:34 AM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ontheoutside
i understand that you do your shows from saratoga during there meet
but where do you go from there when it is over?do you still do a show from a track?or in studio?thanks
and please any imfo on kate masterson for me would be thankfull
He broadcasts from the CheapWhiskeyDancer bar in the off-season
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  #4  
Old 09-01-2008, 02:02 PM
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pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
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Posts: 15,693
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Taking a shot on Stevil in the 3rd. Good luck today boys, lets make some money on the last day of Saratoga!

Playing a pk3:

3,4,6
1
ALL
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  #5  
Old 09-01-2008, 10:31 AM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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thanks for all your hard work.ive seen the kind of days you have to put in ..capping at 3.30 am..then a full day at the q and the show and the stable..
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  #6  
Old 09-01-2008, 10:31 AM
tmpg2000 tmpg2000 is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 26
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
The 42 days of Saratoga come to a close this afternoon: always a melancholy arrival. As much fun as these six weeks can be, they are also intense, grueling and frenetic. It has been a particularly memorable meet for me personally, and I hope that between the 'At the Races' broadcasts from here and attempts to help you make money with the daily selections, that I've been able to provide a portion of the Saratoga Summer experience. The first 21 days of the meet were the most lucrative for my plays, with these last 14 days a bit of a struggle. One final shot to finish the meet on a positive. Hope you've done well and have enjoyed these wondrous 36 race days...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Counterspy 7-2
Best Value: #5 All the Way Home 15-1
Next Best: #6 Outoftheslammer 6-1
Super Add: #7 D'Wildcard 10-1; #1 Repenthouse 5-1


2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Gem for Hook 2-1
Best Value: #5 Vintage Tough 6-1
Next Best: #2 By the Sky 3-1
Super Add: #6 Pals First Lady 5-1


3rd: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Tend 7-2
Best Value: #5 Premium Gold 10-1
Next Best: #2 Discreet Treasure 9-5


4th: The Loudonville, NYB-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Very tricky NYB stake.. Other than Stunt Man, looks like all can win..

Most Likely: #5 Tommasi 4-1
Best Value: #6 Rises the Phoenix 8-1
Next Best: #7 Dr. D.F.C. 7-2
Exotics Use: #4 Johnie Bye Night 5-1


5th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 City Broad 4-1
Best Value: #9 Miss Dolan's Rose 12-1
Next Best: #1e Rice entry 8-1
Super Add: (AE) #13 Intoxicating Beauty 3-1 (Sub #11 Welcome to Wista if 13 not in)




2: 2-5-8
3: 5-6
4: 1-2-4-5-6-7
5: 3-9

3x2x6x2 = $72


6th: S/ALW. 3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Cobblestone Way 7-2
Best Value: #3 Ardnavagh 6-1
Next Best: #5 Higher Incentive 9-2
Super Add: #9 Eightyfive S 10-1


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Lyke a Hurricane 6-1
Best Value: #9 Pano's Love 8-1
Next Best: #8 Don't Fooli Houli 6-1
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Thunder Buddy 5-1


8th: 13th Glens Falls (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Dynaforce 6-5
Best Value: #6 Palmilla 6-1
Next Best: #7 Dyna's Lassie 12-1


9th: The Quick Call, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Hellvelyn 3-1
Best Value: #7 True to Tradition 15-1 (X-entered Turf Monster @ PHA)
Next Best: #11 Chasin Tiger 30-1
Super Add: #9 Vicarino 30-1


10th: 104th Hopeful (Gr. I), 2yo, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Break Water Edison 4-1
Best Value: #5 Vineyard Haven 12-1
Next Best: #7 Notonthesamepage 9-2
Super Add: #4 Munnings 5-2


11th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Skywire 6-1
Best Value: #2 Masterofthehouse 30-1
Next Best: #10 Arch Hero 12-1
Super Add: #5 Buddha Power 12-1




8: 3-6
9: 5-7
10: 1-5-7
11: 1-2-5-6-7-10

2x2x3x6 = $72


Big 'Toga ATR Finale tonight with Carolyn Conley, Bobby Frankel, Bill Mott, and much more scheduled to appear!

Good Luck... Thanks for making Saratoga 2008 special!
Steve



PHILADELPHIA PARK

Great lineup of familiar and lesser known faces in this $1,000,000 free for all!

10th: 29th Pennsylvania Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f

Most Likely: #4 Tiz Now Tiz Then 4-1
Best Value: #10 Power Game 12-1
Next Best: #6 Smooth Air 7-2
Super Add: #1 Stones River 8-1

Thanks Kasept. I've found your posts to be very informative.

Mike
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  #7  
Old 09-01-2008, 10:32 AM
skippy3481 skippy3481 is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Indiana
Posts: 1,289
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Steve,
Just wanted to be the first to thank you for all the work you have done in the past 6 weeks. I don't know how you maintain your level of energy for that long of a time. The hospitality you show at toga and the board are unmatched on any other board. Thank you again and it was great meeting you...
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  #8  
Old 09-01-2008, 10:33 AM
skippy3481 skippy3481 is offline
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Location: Indiana
Posts: 1,289
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welcome to the group tmpg
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  #9  
Old 09-01-2008, 03:16 PM
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pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
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Unbelievable, I bet the 6, the 6 almost gets put over the hedge and comes back to get 2nd, much the best here, but had to carry me today!
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  #10  
Old 09-01-2008, 03:25 PM
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dalakhani dalakhani is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Washington dc
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
Unbelievable, I bet the 6, the 6 almost gets put over the hedge and comes back to get 2nd, much the best here, but had to carry me today!
congrats. nice when a dq goes your well. and yes-6 was much the best
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Old 09-01-2008, 03:27 PM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
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Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
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give the stews a jv kiss ass take down..
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  #12  
Old 09-01-2008, 03:37 PM
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pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
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Posts: 15,693
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dalakhani
congrats. nice when a dq goes your well. and yes-6 was much the best
Thanks, Dalakhani. Really didn't think they were going to take the 2 down, thought they were going to blame JV for trying to go on the rail that wasn't quite there. These rarely go my way!
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  #13  
Old 09-01-2008, 03:36 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
Unbelievable, I bet the 6, the 6 almost gets put over the hedge and comes back to get 2nd, much the best here, but had to carry me today!
Good thing for you the stewards rewarded Velazquez for being a dumbass and trying to run through a hole that didn't exist. I'd love to know what Mrs. Holden did wrong in that situation.
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  #14  
Old 09-01-2008, 03:38 PM
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pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
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Posts: 15,693
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Good thing for you the stewards rewarded Velazquez for being a dumbass and trying to run through a hole that didn't exist. I'd love to know what Mrs. Holden did wrong in that situation.
Though, I benefitted with it, I have to agree with you.
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Old 09-01-2008, 03:46 PM
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TheSpyder TheSpyder is offline
Del Mar
 
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Default race 6

3-8 exacta box would be very nice
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  #16  
Old 09-01-2008, 04:13 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Iron Curtain, the money furnace, is about to strike again.
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  #17  
Old 09-01-2008, 07:54 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Good thing for you the stewards rewarded Velazquez for being a dumbass and trying to run through a hole that didn't exist. I'd love to know what Mrs. Holden did wrong in that situation.
That absurd DQ cost me 3 dimes of the super after I keyed Mrs. Holden on top. I still can't believe it. She kept her path, and the hole was open, but the 6 was green and didn't want to go through. I truly feel like the stewards stole from me and anyone else who bet the 2. There was absolutely no foul there and they should have a pretty damned good explanation on this one, especially considering the Frankel horses that were left up after causing more interference.
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  #18  
Old 09-01-2008, 08:08 PM
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Payson Dave Payson Dave is offline
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I'm turning myself out for a freshening for a few days....ultimately a reasonably profitable meet... but it certainly was a struggle the last week or so...

hmmm doesn't the friday card at Belmont gets drawn on Wednesday.
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Old 09-01-2008, 08:32 PM
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pgiaco pgiaco is offline
Woodbine
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Payson Dave
I'm turning myself out for a freshening for a few days....ultimately a reasonably profitable meet... but it certainly was a struggle the last week or so...

hmmm doesn't the friday card at Belmont gets drawn on Wednesday.
Friday and Saturday draw on Wednesday.
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