9/19: Belmont ($44k C/O)

[Kasept]

As anticipated, it was a very fun day of quality racing at Belmont, with the results making the day profitable atop the scintillating action. After a whiff in the turf route maiden opener, I ran through 4 "on top" winners in a row ($15.60; $8.30; $9.50; $6.90), though bold type LOST WITHOUT YOU was subsequently taken down by the stewards.

Among the cashings yesterday was the Late P4 ($367.00), the R5-7 P3 ($177.75) and sassy Defrereoftheheart keyed exacta ($96.00: $2) and tri ($156.00: $1). I'll assume you did well..

Carryover of $44k today thanks to the $90.00 Contessa winner of Wednesday's 4th.. If you haven't looked at it, BLOOD-HORSE.COM's Maiden Watch Blog has done great work, and had Into My Soul as an ON TOP selection.


BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: 7 Dancing Daisy 2-1 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: 10 Lilly of Paradise 12-1 3rd
Next Best: 5 Saarlandisyourland 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: 1e SCR


5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: 4 Viva La Flag 3-1 2nd
Best Value: 1 Survived 6-1 WON ($28.20)
Next Best: 7 Jeux de Danse 6-1 5th

[color="Green"]$1 Exacta (1-4) Paid $56.25/COLOR]


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: 6 FIDDLERS AFLEET 9-5 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: 8 Cappela Reae 6-1 4th
Next Best: 5 SCR
Super Add: 4 SCR

$1 Pick 3 (7-1-6) 3 Correct Paid $55.75


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: 5 Dancing Tin Man 6-1 2nd
Best Value: 7 Senor Enrico 20-1 6th
Next Best: 11 Titan of Industry 3-1 5th
Super Add: 12 SCR


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: 6 Higher Incentive 9-2 5th
Best Value: 4 Goo Goo Eyes 6-1 4th
Next Best: 3 According to Plan 3-1 2nd


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: 5 Seven in a Row 6-1 WON ($16.20)
Best Value: 1 (POE) Dear Contender 15-1 4th
Next Best: 2 My Lovely Lark 9-5 8th
Exotics Use: 6 Love for a Price 3-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (5-6) Paid $33.75


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 7-10
5: 1-4
6: 6
7: 1-5-6-7-11-12
8: 4-6
9: 2-5

2x2x1x6x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 6
7: 1-5-6-7-9-11-12
8: 4-6
9: 1-2-5-6-11

1x7x2x5 = $70

$2 Pick 6 (7-1-6-1-5-5) 5 Correct Paid $112.00 x 2 = $224.00



Good luck!
Steve

[NTamm1215]

Another nice card today and it surprises me that while people lament the preponderance of conditioned claimers, turf sprints, and maiden sellers, that no one brings up how interesting many of these starter allowance races are on the grass. The 7th is an extremely interesting race with about 10 different horses who look like they can win.

FOREVER MY FRIEND is one worth watching in there as he had a bit of a troubled trip last time out. He was steadied hard by the "check master" Jorge Chavez then wound up out in the four path down the backstretch and was checked a bit again inside the 1/2 mile pole. He was shuffled back to last and wound up closing like a maniac down the middle of the course to lose the whole thing by one length. Presumably it's a jockey upgrade today to Kent D and the connections will guarantee he's a square price.

Good luck!

NT

[Kasept]

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp

Boarding flight for Louisville.. Can't make changes but here are the SCR's from Belmont...

G/L!!

[DJARUM]

have to bet against Hi Daddy here, I'll take Safari Kid!

[ironprospect]

4th 6...7...10
5th 2...4...6
6th 6...8
7th 1...5...9
8th 2...5
9th 2 $216

to even it off

4
6
6
9
2..5
2 $4 $220

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Love For A Price Is A Good Price..!!7-1

$10 win Seven In A Row

[blackthroatedwind]

Oops....I thought Byk nailed it.

5 of 6 still pretty good. Missed an easy one while getting the impossible one.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Oops....I thought Byk nailed it.

5 of 6 still pretty good. Missed an easy one while getting the impossible one.

me too survived got the wtf trip...noone went after him early..unreal

[herkhorse]

Another impressive day Steve, very nice!

[ninetoone]

excellent try Steve.