ATR Breeders' Cup Selections

[Kasept]

25th BREEDERS' CUP -- OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA -- FRIDAY


3rd: BC Filly & Mare Sprint, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Even with anticipated scratch of Indyanne, the pace of this affair appears hotter than a typical seven-eighths event. Stalkers/Closers should have the set up they look for. While Indian Blessing is surely the horse to beat after brilliant managed campaign, Ventura and Zaftig are coming up to this on pitch and should make this one of the weekend's most exciting races.

Best Value: #12 Ventura 5-1: Handled like '00 Sprint runner-up Honest Lady.. WON
Most Likely: #5 Indian Blessing 2-1: Becoming a bet-against as week draws on.. 2nd
Next Best: #6 Zaftig 8-1: Huge upset chance if close to Acorn form.. 3rd
Super Add: #3 Intangaroo 9-2: Low figs deceptive; Serious horse best at 7 panels.. 6th
Deep Exotics: #8 Tiz Elemental (20-1) 13th; #10 Miraculous Miss (20-1) 4th

$1 Exacta (12-5) Paid $12.70
$1 Trifecta (12-5-6) Paid $48.70
$1 Superfecta (12-5-6-10) Paid $733.30



4th: BC Juvenile Fillies Turf, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Sugar Mom 10-1: Hard to argue with Catalano magic.. 7th
Most Likely: #11 Saucey Evening 9-2: Should work out necessary trip.. 4th
Next Best: #7 Consequence 8-1: Outfit never runs girls that can't compete.. 6th
Super Add: #2 Laragh 7-2: With one below her, appears solid enough.. 3rd
Deep Exotics: #4 C Karma 8-1: Why is she twice the price of Laragh? 8th



5th: BC Juvenile Fillies (Gr. I), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

May be Friday's most interesting race from a wagering standpoint with logicals either slightly compromised by post draw or less attractive at their quoted ML tote than you would want. Certainly tough to swallow 2-1 on Paasch's very nice Stardom Bound when at least 4-5 have already established their parity with her from a speed figure standpoint..

Best Value: #6 Van Lear Rose 30-1: Yet to regress; Repeat of last can win this.. 6th
Most Likely: #10 Stardom Bound 2-1: Rock solid but will need even more yet.. WON
Next Best: #8 C. S. Silk 15-1: Moving up on radar screens by looking better each morning.. 7th
Super Add: #4 Sky Diva 7-2: Stunning in Frizette but back fast from big effort.. 3rd
Deep Exotics: #2 Persistently 15-1 5th



<$25 P3 Play:

3: 12
4: 2-4-7-8-11
5: 2-4-6-8-10

1x5x5 = $25



6th: BC Filly & Mare Turf, 3+, 10f-T (P3, DD, Super)

O'Brien Irish-bred Halfway to Heaven is emerging as Ballydoyle's banker for the weekend having been within 3 lengths of Zarkava at Paris in the Springtime, and a three time Group 1 winner since.. May waltz.

Most Likely: #8 Halfway to Heaven 4-1: Multiple Group I winner will adore this surface.. 6th
Best Value: #3 Forever Together 6-1: Sheppard-Strawbridge miss has been terrific.. WON
Next Best: #5 Wait a While 3-1: Perfect this course; Nearly perfect this trip.. 3rd
Super Add: #7 Mauralakana 5-1: Clement mare always runs her race.. 5th
Deep Exotics: #4 Visit 15-1: Competitive with pick; Looks good physically.. 4th



7th: BC Ladies Classic (Gr. I), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super, Super Hi 5)

Keep expecting Shirreffs-Moss monster Zenyatta to be seriously challenged, and she just keeps winning effortessly. Sure hard to simply 'give' her this event with such nice competition lining up though. Belongs at the top of the majority your plays, but be a little defensive in your multi-race plays..

Most Likely: #1 Zenyatta 3-5: Unbeaten, but still needs to pass 'em all; Not a lock.. WON
Best Value: #2 Hysterical Lady 15-1: Will be underbet off last; Expect better here.. 5th
Next Best: #6 Ginger Punch 9-2: Not exactly pointed here but expect good effort.. 6th
Super Add: #3 Cocoa Beach 8-1: Dazzled in the a.m. and seems poised for big effort.. 2nd



8th: 39th Las Palmas (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Black Mamba 5-2 7th
Best Value: #2 Lightmyfirebaby 15-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Valbenny 6-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Lemon Chiffon 10-1 3rd; #13 Gotta Have Her 15-1 5th



<$100 P4 Play:

5: 2-4-6-8-10
6: 3-8
7: 1-2-3-4-6
8: 1-2

5x2x5x2 = $100



25th BREEDERS' CUP -- OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA -- SATURDAY


Cup's Opening Day was wildly pleasurable with huge performances from real stars like Zenyatta, Ventura ans Stardom Bound, and thrilling finishes that produced Forever Together and Maram. The series of human connections involved were also easy to root for too. Results were very similar to last year's first day as the Filly and Mare Sprint was the lone productive suggestion. Look to hit a few more this afternoon via multi-race plays and some spot plays on overlays. Hope you did OK Friday..



1st: 1st BC Marathon, 3+, 12f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Delightful Kiss 8-1 4th
Most Likely: #4 Sixties Icon 2-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Zappa 5-2 7th
Super Add: #7 Big Booster 9-2 3rd



2nd: 1st BC Turf Sprint, 3+, 6.6f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #13 Get Funky 9-2 9th
Best Value: #8 Diabolical 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Fleeting Spirit 5-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Storm Treasure 12-1 3rd
Deep Exotics: #5 Salute the Count 12-1 6th



3rd: 2nd BC Dirt Mile, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 WELL ARMED 3-1 9th
Best Value: #1 Lewis Michael 5-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Albertus Maximus 4-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Slew's Tiznow 15-1 10th
Deep Exotics: #6 Pyro 20-1 6th



4th: 25th BC Mile (Gr. I), 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, D, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Goldikova 3-1 WON
Best Value: #3 Precious Kitten 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Kip Deville 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Daytona 6-1 10th
Deep Exotics: #6 Awesome Gem 20-1 6th



5th: 25th BC Juvenile (Gr. I), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Munnings 7-2 10th
Next Best: #11 Midshipman 5-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Silent Valor 15-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Street Hero 6-1 3rd
Deep Exotics: #13 West Side Bernie 20-1 6th



<$100 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4-5-6-7-8-13
3: 8
4: 2-3-4
5: 1-6-8-11

8x1x3x4 = $96



6th: 2nd BC Juvenile Turf, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Coronet of a Baron 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Vaquero 20-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Donativum 6-1 WON
Super Add: #12 Grand Adventure 5-1 10th
Deep Exotics: #10 Skipdate 6-1 11th



7th: 25th BC Sprint (Gr. I), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 MIDNIGHT LUTE 7-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Street Boss 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Sing Baby Sing 30-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Fabulous Strike 4-1 5th



8th: 25th BC Turf (Gr. I), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Eagle Mountain 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Winchester 15-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Grand Couturier 6-1 11th
Super Add: #6 Dancing Forever 10-1 3rd



9th: 25th BC Classic (Gr. I), 3+, 10f (P3, DD, Super, Super Hi 5)

Most Likely: #9 Curlin 7-5 4th
Best Value: #7 Student Council 20-1 11th
Next Best:#4 Duke of Marmalade 10-1 9th
Super Add: #10 Fairbanks 10-1 10th
Deep Exotics: #6 Smooth Air 50-1 7th



<$150 P6 Play:

4: 4
5: 1-6-11
6: 3-4-6-7-10-12
7: 2-4
8: 5-11
9: 9

1x3x6x2x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144



10th: 1st Damascus, 3yo, 7f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Hatta Fort 12-1 3rd
Most Likely: #12 Georgie Boy 2-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Into Mischief 4-1 WON
Super Add: #14 Master Daniel 30-1 9th



11th: Oak Tree Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Madeo 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Woodland Flood 30-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Deal Making 10-1 6th
Super Add: #14 Pearl Fisher 30-1 11th



<$100 P4 Play:

8: 3-4-5-10-11
9: 4-7-9
10: 2-12
11: 6-9-10

5x3x2x3 = $90

[Kasept]

Brad Free just told me that the Opener's time was the fastest 6.5 of the meet so far... 2nd race winner tucked in behind speed. Going to be tough for the deepest closers in the F&M Sprint... Note that same is not always the case in two turn races...

Tread cautiously...